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AFK Vilnius vs FK Babrungas Prediction & H2H Stats

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2025 Kalnu parko stadionas, Vilnius
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Norvaisas M.
38' Event
Sanchez G.
40'
Norvaisas M.

AI Match Summary

FK Babrungas in this Lithuanian Cup 2025 tie, finishing 0-6. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
AFK Vilnius
15%
Draws
65%
FK Babrungas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Babrungas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • FK Babrungas have won more games recently than AFK Vilnius.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on FK Babrungas taking it.
  • FK Babrungas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Babrungas, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
AFK Vilnius Clean Sheet 10%
FK Babrungas Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFK Vilnius FK Babrungas
Matches Played 5 31
Wins 1 23
Draws 0 4
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 1 2.03
Goals Conceded 3.8 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2025 Lithuanian Cup
AFK Vilnius vs FK Babrungas
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFK Vilnius Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

FK Babrungas Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tomemori S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFK Vilnius 10 / 100
FK Babrungas 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFK Vilnius FK Babrungas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Babrungas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

AFK Vilnius found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (5 games).

Defensive concern: FK Babrungas conceded in 42% of 31 recent games.

AFK Vilnius went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFK Vilnius VS FK Babrungas
0 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AFK Vilnius

(Home)
29 Apr
AFK Vilnius
0 : 3
Garliava
20 May
AFK Vilnius
0 : 6
FK Babrungas
29 Apr
AFK Vilnius
4 : 2
Pempininkai
05 May
AFK Vilnius
1 : 2
Klaipedos FM
07 May
AFK Vilnius
0 : 6
Zalgiris

FK Babrungas

(Away)
20 Sept
Zalgiris 2
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
11 Sept
FK Babrungas
3 : 2
FK Atmosfera
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1
FK Babrungas
29 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
21 Aug
FK Babrungas
1 : 1
Tauras Taurage
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
AFK Vilnius 4
Pempininkai 2
FK Sveikata Kybartai 0
FK Babrungas 2
Nevezis Kedainiai 1
FK Minija 3
FK Cementininkas 2
Dziugas Telsiai 3
Sirijus 0
Transinvest 5
VGTU Vilkai 0
FC Hegelmann 6
FK Atmosfera 0
Banga 2
Riteriai 1
FA Siauliai 2
Dainava Alytus 0
Zalgiris 6
Neptunas 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
Utenis 1
Tauras Taurage 5
Vilnius FA 0
Suduva 4
Kazlu Ruda 1
BE1 NFA 0
Klaipedos FM 2
Jonava 3
Garliava 1
Ekranas 0
Trivartis Vilnius 0
FK Panevezys 13
1/8-finals
AFK Vilnius 0
FK Babrungas 6
FK Minija 0
Dziugas Telsiai 1
Transinvest 0
FC Hegelmann 1
Banga 0
FA Siauliai 1
Zalgiris 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Tauras Taurage 1
Suduva 3
Kazlu Ruda 1
Jonava 4
Garliava 0
FK Panevezys 3
Quarter-finals
FK Babrungas 1
Dziugas Telsiai 2
FC Hegelmann 3
FA Siauliai 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris 0
Suduva 2
Jonava 1
FK Panevezys 4
Semi-finals
Dziugas Telsiai 1
FC Hegelmann 2
Suduva 0
FK Panevezys 2
Final
FC Hegelmann 0
FK Panevezys 1