Sport Picks

Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup

Garliava

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AFK Vilnius play Garliava in the Lithuanian Cup. Garliava are favorites here. Recently, AFK Vilnius averaged 1 goals scored and 3.8 conceded. Garliava averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, AFK Vilnius won 0, Garliava won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 29, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for AFK Vilnius and 2.81 for Garliava. This points to a Garliava double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%

AFK Vilnius

17%

Draws

63%

Garliava

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Garliava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence

AFK Vilnius picked up more points recently compared to Garliava.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 2.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 61%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

AFK Vilnius Clean Sheet 10%

Garliava Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	AFK Vilnius	Garliava
Matches Played	5	30
Wins	1	12
Draws	0	6
Losses	4	12
Goals Scored	1	1.4
Goals Conceded	3.8	1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	4.50	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Lithuanian Cup

AFK Vilnius vs Garliava

Possession: 54% - 58% Cards: 0 - 3

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFK Vilnius Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Garliava Compare

Top Goalscorer Akinis N.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Pastukas J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFK Vilnius 20 / 100

Garliava 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AFK Vilnius Garliava

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Garliava Win (2)

Secondary Pick Garliava & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +66.6%

8.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.82

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

AFK Vilnius attacking → ← attacking Garliava

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFK Vilnius scored in 40% of their last 5 games.

Garliava let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

AFK Vilnius went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Garliava lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 42

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

4.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13