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Afogadense vs Cabense

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2012
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AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2012 game between Afogadense and Cabense finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cabense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Afogadense
20%
Draws
29%
Cabense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Afogadense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Cabense have managed 1.43 goals a game lately — Afogadense are scoring more at 1.71.
  • Win probability leans Afogadense's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Afogadense Clean Sheet 17%
Cabense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afogadense Cabense
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 12 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.71 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Cabense vs Afogadense
3:0
Aug 12, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Afogadense vs Cabense
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afogadense 75 / 100
Cabense 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afogadense Cabense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afogadense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afogadense's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Cabense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 35 matches.

Afogadense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cabense
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Afogadense

(Home)
10 Oct
Cabense
3 : 0
Afogadense
03 Oct
Afogadense
5 : 1
Ibis Sport Club
30 Sept
Olinda FC
5 : 1
Afogadense
26 Sept
Afogadense
2 : 0
Pesqueira
23 Sept
Ferroviario do Cabo
0 : 2
Afogadense
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Cabense

(Away)
15 Sept
Decisao
3 : 1
Cabense
07 Sept
Cabense
1 : 1
Decisao
31 Aug
Ipojuca
0 : 1
Cabense
24 Aug
Jaguar
3 : 2
Cabense
17 Aug
Cabense
1 : 1
Ibis Sport Club
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cha Grande 28 18 7 3 64:27 61
2 Cabense 28 17 7 4 52:17 58
3 Pesqueira 28 18 2 8 50:29 56
4 Olinda FC 28 17 8 3 62:28 56
5 Academica Vitoria 28 14 8 6 53:36 50
6 Carpina SC 28 14 5 9 39:29 47
7 Afogadense 28 12 9 7 48:42 45
8 Timbauba FC 28 12 7 9 35:26 43
9 Ipojuca 28 9 7 12 41:40 34
10 Jaguar 28 5 10 13 40:53 25
11 Sete de Setembro (PE) 28 5 10 13 28:50 25
12 Centro Limoeirense 28 6 3 19 30:64 21
13 Ibis Sport Club 28 4 9 15 31:64 21
14 Ferroviario do Cabo 28 4 6 18 30:61 18
15 Atletico PE 28 2 8 18 22:59 14
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2012 (Play Offs)