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Afogados da Ingazeira U20 vs Salgueiro U20

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Afogados da Ingazeira U20 play Salgueiro U20 in the Pernambucano U20. Afogados da Ingazeira U20 are favorites here. Recently, Afogados da Ingazeira U20 averaged 2.13 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. Salgueiro U20 averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Afogados da Ingazeira U20 won 2, Salgueiro U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 19, 2025 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.98 for Afogados da Ingazeira U20 and 0.92 for Salgueiro U20. This points to a Afogados da Ingazeira U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Afogados da Ingazeira U20
15%
Draws
24%
Salgueiro U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Afogados da Ingazeira U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Afogados da Ingazeira U20 picked up more points recently compared to Salgueiro U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.98 vs 0.92 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Afogados da Ingazeira U20 Clean Sheet 24%
Salgueiro U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afogados da Ingazeira U20 Salgueiro U20
Matches Played 8 6
Wins 6 2
Draws 1 1
Losses 1 3
Goals Scored 2.13 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Pernambucano U20
Afogados da Ingazeira U20 vs Salgueiro U20
4:1
Sep 14, 2025 Pernambucano U20
Salgueiro U20 vs Afogados da Ingazeira U20
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afogados da Ingazeira U20 60 / 100
Salgueiro U20 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afogados da Ingazeira U20 Salgueiro U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afogados da Ingazeira U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Afogados da Ingazeira U20 & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.3%
1.89
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Afogados da Ingazeira U20 attacking → ← attacking Salgueiro U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afogados da Ingazeira U20 scored in 88% of their last 8 games.

Salgueiro U20 let in goals in 83% of their last 6 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Afogados da Ingazeira U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Salgueiro U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 7
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.33
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.83

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Afogados da Ingazeira U20660015:118
2Petrolina U20631210:910
3Salgueiro U2062138:117
4Pesqueira U2060062:140
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nautico U20550013:215
2Retro U20540116:112
3Atletico PE U2052124:77
4Jaguar U2051228:65
5Ibis Sport Club U2051044:183
6Guarany PE U2050143:141
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1America PE U2043108:110
2Sport Recife U2043107:010
3Santa Cruz U2042029:46
4Serrano PE U2040133:91
5Ipojuca U2040131:141