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Stadium Background

Afogados da Ingazeira vs Ferroviario do Cabo

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Afogados da Ingazeira in this Pernambucano 2 2016 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Afogados da Ingazeira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Afogados da Ingazeira
6%
Draws
4%
Ferroviario do Cabo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Afogados da Ingazeira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Afogados da Ingazeira have won more games recently than Ferroviario do Cabo.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Afogados da Ingazeira taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Afogados da Ingazeira Clean Sheet 13%
Ferroviario do Cabo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afogados da Ingazeira Ferroviario do Cabo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 2.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2023 Pernambucano 2
Afogados da Ingazeira vs Ferroviario do Cabo
4:0
Oct 29, 2016 Pernambucano 2
Afogados da Ingazeira vs Ferroviario do Cabo
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afogados da Ingazeira 84 / 100
Ferroviario do Cabo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afogados da Ingazeira Ferroviario do Cabo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario do Cabo has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Afogados da Ingazeira's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Afogados da Ingazeira went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Afogados da Ingazeira VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Afogados da Ingazeira861118:519
2Flamengo Arcoverde852114:617
3Vera Cruz851217:816
4Barreiros FC843111:715
5Timbauba FC842215:1014
6Centro Limoeirense81436:107
7Cabense81258:215
8Ferroviario do Cabo81165:174
9Ibis Sport Club80265:152