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Afogados da Ingazeira vs Flamengo Arcoverde

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2023 game between Afogados da Ingazeira and Flamengo Arcoverde finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Afogados da Ingazeira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Afogados da Ingazeira
6%
Draws
4%
Flamengo Arcoverde
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Afogados da Ingazeira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Flamengo Arcoverde carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Afogados da Ingazeira a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Afogados da Ingazeira have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Afogados da Ingazeira Clean Sheet 16%
Flamengo Arcoverde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afogados da Ingazeira Flamengo Arcoverde
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 8 1
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.88 3.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 3.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2024 Pernambucano
Flamengo Arcoverde vs Afogados da Ingazeira
2:3
Oct 12, 2023 Pernambucano 2
Afogados da Ingazeira vs Flamengo Arcoverde
1:0
Mar 13, 2019 Pernambucano
Afogados da Ingazeira vs Flamengo Arcoverde
2:1
Feb 4, 2018 Pernambucano
Flamengo Arcoverde vs Afogados da Ingazeira
0:1
Mar 8, 2017 Pernambucano
Flamengo Arcoverde vs Afogados da Ingazeira
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afogados da Ingazeira 84 / 100
Flamengo Arcoverde 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afogados da Ingazeira Flamengo Arcoverde

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afogados da Ingazeira found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Flamengo Arcoverde has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Afogados da Ingazeira went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Afogados da Ingazeira VS Flamengo Arcoverde
1 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 3.4
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 80%
38% Over 3.5 60%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Afogados da Ingazeira11101028:431
2Academica Vitoria1190236:1027
3Flamengo Arcoverde1190227:827
4Decisao1170416:1021
5Vera Cruz1162331:1920
6Ibis Sport Club1143419:2315
7Atletico Torres1141614:1713
8Jaguar1131713:2410
9Atletico PE1123610:159
10Centro Limoeirense1121810:267
111º de Maio1112811:315
12Ferroviario do Cabo111289:375