Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Afogados da Ingazeira vs Vera Cruz

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Pernambucano 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Renezinho
13'
Vieira de Oliveira A.
22' Event
Renezinho

AI Match Summary

Afogados da Ingazeira in this Campeonato Pernambucano 2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Afogados da Ingazeira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Afogados da Ingazeira
39%
Draws
31%
Vera Cruz
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Afogados da Ingazeira have won more games recently than Vera Cruz.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Afogados da Ingazeira Clean Sheet 19%
Vera Cruz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afogados da Ingazeira Vera Cruz
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 14 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 0.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2023 Pernambucano 2
Afogados da Ingazeira vs Vera Cruz
3:1
Mar 20, 2022 Pernambucano
Afogados da Ingazeira vs Vera Cruz
3:0
Jan 29, 2022 Pernambucano
Afogados da Ingazeira vs Vera Cruz
2:2
Apr 18, 2021 Pernambucano
Afogados da Ingazeira vs Vera Cruz
2:1
Sep 20, 2016 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs Afogados da Ingazeira
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Afogados da Ingazeira Compare

Top Goalscorer Renezinho
2 Goals
Assists Leader Weverton Braz
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Vera Cruz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afogados da Ingazeira 31 / 100
Vera Cruz 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afogados da Ingazeira Vera Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vera Cruz let in goals in 88% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Afogados da Ingazeira scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Afogados da Ingazeira has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Afogados da Ingazeira VS Vera Cruz
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Afogados da Ingazeira

(Home)
22 Feb
Jaguar
1 : 0
Afogados da Ingazeira
15 Feb
Afogados da Ingazeira
1 : 1
Maguary
09 Feb
Nautico
4 : 0
Afogados da Ingazeira
05 Feb
Decisao
1 : 1
Afogados da Ingazeira
29 Jan
Afogados da Ingazeira
1 : 1
Central SC
Page 1 of 7

Vera Cruz

(Away)
17 Oct
Vera Cruz
2 : 2
Ipojuca
11 Oct
Centro Limoeirense
1 : 0
Vera Cruz
08 Oct
Vera Cruz
1 : 2
Belo Jardim
28 Sept
America PE
2 : 0
Vera Cruz
21 Sept
Ipojuca
3 : 1
Vera Cruz
Page 1 of 7