Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 game between Afragolese and A.C.D. Nardo finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and A.C.D. Nardo come out ahead of Afragolese on wins alone.
- 35% — that's where the model lands on Afragolese taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Afragolese Clean Sheet 68%
A.C.D. Nardo Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Afragolese | A.C.D. Nardo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 12 | 12 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 0.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Afragolese vs A.C.D. Nardo
0:0
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Afragolese
3:0
Apr 16, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Afragolese vs A.C.D. Nardo
2:2
Dec 4, 2022 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Afragolese
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Afragolese 68 / 100
A.C.D. Nardo 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Afragolese A.C.D. Nardo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Afragolese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Afragolese scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Afragolese went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
A.C.D. Nardo has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Afragolese VS A.C.D. Nardo
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Afragolese
(Home) 20 Sept
Afragolese
4 : 0 US Venafro
16 Sept
Paganese
0 : 0 Afragolese
12 Sept
Afragolese
1 : 1 Sarnese
06 Sept
Gelbison
0 : 0 Afragolese
03 May
Francavilla
2 : 0 Afragolese
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Afragolese
4 : 0 US Venafro
12 Sept
Afragolese
1 : 1 Sarnese
26 Apr
Afragolese
0 : 6 Gravina
19 Apr
Afragolese
0 : 0 Real Normanna
02 Apr
Afragolese
2 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
Page 1 of 3
A.C.D. Nardo
(Away) 20 Sept
Ischia
1 : 2 A.C.D. Nardo
16 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 0 Melfi
12 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 1 A.C.D. Nardo
06 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 2 Bisceglie
10 May
Martina Calcio
2 : 1 A.C.D. Nardo
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Ischia
1 : 2 A.C.D. Nardo
12 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 1 A.C.D. Nardo
10 May
Martina Calcio
2 : 1 A.C.D. Nardo
26 Apr
Ferrandina
1 : 0 A.C.D. Nardo
12 Apr
Sarnese
0 : 0 A.C.D. Nardo
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barletta | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 54:20 | 70 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 62 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51:35 | 62 |
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36:32 | 58 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 40:27 | 55 |
| 6 | Gravina | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50:40 | 55 |
| 7 | Afragolese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 35:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Virtus Francavilla | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Normanna | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Francavilla | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:38 | 43 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 34:39 | 43 |
| 13 | Sarnese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 51:49 | 41 |
| 14 | SS Nola 1925 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:50 | 41 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 31:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Pompei | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 26:38 | 34 |
| 17 | Ferrandina | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 21:43 | 30 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 20:74 | 14 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)
