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Afragolese vs Aranova - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Afragolese host Aranova in the Serie D - Group G. This one's hard to separate. Afragolese have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Aranova's 1.5 scored and 1.25 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.31) point toward Aranova. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Afragolese
20%
Draws
40%
Aranova
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Afragolese have won more games recently than Aranova.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Afragolese Clean Sheet 18%
Aranova Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afragolese Aranova
Matches Played 28 8
Wins 7 3
Draws 12 3
Losses 9 2
Goals Scored 1.07 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afragolese 32 / 100
Aranova 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afragolese Aranova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aranova Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aranova's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 8 matches.

Afragolese has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Afragolese's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Aranova's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Afragolese VS Aranova
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Afragolese

(Home)
17 Oct
Afragolese
4 : 0
Atl. Lodigiani
11 Oct
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 0
Afragolese
04 Oct
Afragolese
0 : 2
Ossese
27 Sept
Citta di Anagni
4 : 0
Afragolese
20 Sept
Afragolese
4 : 0
US Venafro
Page 1 of 6

Aranova

(Away)
18 Oct
Unipomezia
3 : 4
Aranova
11 Oct
Aranova
2 : 0
Trastevere Calcio
04 Oct
Certosa V. Campagnano
2 : 1
Aranova
27 Sept
Aranova
1 : 1
Latte Dolce
20 Sept
Monastir
2 : 1
Aranova
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sarnese 8 6 2 0 13:6 20
2 Monastir 8 5 1 2 21:13 16
3 Certosa V. Campagnano 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
4 Trastevere Calcio 8 4 2 2 11:14 14
5 Paganese 8 4 1 3 17:10 13
6 Unipomezia 8 3 3 2 14:10 12
7 Ossese 8 3 3 2 11:8 12
8 Albalonga 8 3 3 2 13:11 12
9 Aranova 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
10 Anzio Calcio 1924 8 3 3 2 8:6 12
11 Afragolese 8 2 4 2 9:7 10
12 Citta di Anagni 8 3 1 4 10:12 10
13 Gelbison 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
14 US Venafro 8 2 2 4 6:11 8
15 Budoni Calcio 8 2 1 5 12:20 7
16 Sarrabus Ogliastra 8 1 3 4 7:11 6
17 Latte Dolce 8 1 3 4 9:14 6
18 Atl. Lodigiani 8 0 1 7 8:22 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)