Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Afragolese vs SS Nola 1925

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Afragolese
35%
Draws
30%
SS Nola 1925
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SS Nola 1925 lately — more wins on the board than Afragolese.
  • Afragolese are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Afragolese Clean Sheet 68%
SS Nola 1925 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afragolese SS Nola 1925
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 12 7
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.03 1.09
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Afragolese vs SS Nola 1925
0:0
Sep 20, 2025 Serie D - Group H
SS Nola 1925 vs Afragolese
2:2
Apr 18, 2021 Serie D - Group G
Afragolese vs SS Nola 1925
0:1
Jan 6, 2021 Serie D - Group G
SS Nola 1925 vs Afragolese
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afragolese 86 / 100
SS Nola 1925 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afragolese SS Nola 1925

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afragolese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SS Nola 1925 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Afragolese has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Afragolese found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Afragolese VS SS Nola 1925
0.63 Goals Scored 0.43
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.43
75% Over 1.5 43%
38% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Afragolese

(Home)
27 Sept
Citta di Anagni
4 : 0
Afragolese
20 Sept
Afragolese
4 : 0
US Venafro
16 Sept
Paganese
0 : 0
Afragolese
12 Sept
Afragolese
1 : 1
Sarnese
06 Sept
Gelbison
0 : 0
Afragolese
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SS Nola 1925

(Away)
10 May
SS Nola 1925
1 : 1
Heraclea
03 May
SS Nola 1925
2 : 1
Martina Calcio
26 Apr
Paganese
5 : 0
SS Nola 1925
19 Apr
SS Nola 1925
0 : 0
Ferrandina
12 Apr
Manfredonia
1 : 0
SS Nola 1925
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barletta 34 20 10 4 54:20 70
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 8 8 47:30 62
3 Citta di Fasano 34 18 8 8 51:35 62
4 Paganese 34 17 7 10 36:32 58
5 A.C.D. Nardo 34 14 13 7 40:27 55
6 Gravina 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
7 Afragolese 34 13 10 11 45:46 49
8 Fidelis Andria 34 13 9 12 35:28 48
9 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 12 10 45:40 48
10 Real Normanna 34 10 13 11 27:26 43
11 Francavilla 34 11 10 13 39:38 43
12 Manfredonia 34 11 10 13 34:39 43
13 Sarnese 34 9 14 11 51:49 41
14 SS Nola 1925 34 11 8 15 42:50 41
15 Heraclea 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 Pompei 34 9 7 18 26:38 34
17 Ferrandina 34 7 9 18 21:43 30
18 Acerrana 34 3 5 26 20:74 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)