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AFS vs Chaves - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between AFS and Chaves finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chaves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
AFS
20%
Draws
34%
Chaves
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Chaves carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives AFS a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
AFS Clean Sheet 20%
Chaves Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFS Chaves
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 12
Draws 12 1
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.11 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Chaves vs AFS
2:2
Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
AFS vs Chaves
0:1
Jul 22, 2023 League Cup
AFS vs Chaves
2:1
Jul 15, 2023 Club Friendly
AFS vs Chaves
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFS 76 / 100
Chaves 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFS Chaves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AFS scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Chaves's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: AFS stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFS VS Chaves
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AFS

(Home)
20 Sept
Sintrense
0 : 2
AFS
13 Sept
AFS
0 : 0
SC Farense
07 Sept
Lusitania FC
2 : 1
AFS
30 Aug
AFS
2 : 0
Feirense
23 Aug
Chaves
2 : 2
AFS
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Chaves

(Away)
04 Oct
SC Farense
4 : 0
Chaves
25 Sept
Chaves
0 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes
20 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 3
Chaves
13 Sept
Chaves
1 : 0
Feirense
30 Aug
FC Felgueiras
2 : 1
Chaves
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