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Afturelding W vs Keflavik W

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup Women 2007
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Keflavik W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Afturelding W
15%
Draws
51%
Keflavik W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Keflavik W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Keflavik W come out ahead of Afturelding W on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Keflavik W taking it.
  • Keflavik W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Keflavik W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Afturelding W Clean Sheet 13%
Keflavik W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afturelding W Keflavik W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 11
Draws 0 3
Losses 22 19
Goals Scored 0.9 1.64
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2023 League Cup Women
Keflavik W vs Afturelding W
3:2
Aug 16, 2022 Besta deild Women
Afturelding W vs Keflavik W
2:3
May 13, 2022 Besta deild Women
Keflavik W vs Afturelding W
1:2
Mar 2, 2022 League Cup Women
Keflavik W vs Afturelding W
2:2
Jun 14, 2020 Icelandic Cup Women
Keflavik W vs Afturelding W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afturelding W 22 / 100
Keflavik W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afturelding W Keflavik W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keflavik W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Keflavik W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Afturelding W scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Afturelding W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Afturelding W VS Keflavik W
0.33 Goals Scored 2
1.33 Goals Conceded 2.38
67% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Afturelding W

(Home)
26 Apr
Afturelding W
1 : 2
Akranes W
19 Apr
Afturelding W
:
KH Hlidarendi W
19 Apr
Kopavogur W
2 : 0
Afturelding W
11 Jun
Afturelding W
1 : 4
Throttur W
19 May
Afturelding W
1 : 0
Vikingur Reykjavik W
Page 1 of 6

Keflavik W

(Away)
15 May
Keflavik W
0 : 2
Vikingur Reykjavik W
26 Apr
KT Reykjavik W
3 : 8
Keflavik W
18 Apr
Keflavik W
2 : 1
KR Reykjavik W
28 Apr
Keflavik W
2 : 3
Grindavik/Njardvik W
14 Mar
Vikingur Reykjavik W
0 : 3
Keflavik W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Afturelding W 1
Keflavik W 2
Stjarnan W 1
Fjolnir W 2
Breidablik W 2
Valur W 1
Thor/KA W 2
KR Reykjavik W 5
Semi-finals
Keflavik W 3
Fjolnir W 1
Breidablik W 3
KR Reykjavik W 7
Final
Keflavik W 0
KR Reykjavik W 3