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Afyonkarahisaspor vs Diyarbakir Kayapinar

Turkey Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 3 2011/2012
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
30' Event
(Penalty)
36' Event

AI Match Summary

The TFF 3. Lig Group 3 2011/2012 game between Afyonkarahisaspor and Diyarbakir Kayapinar finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Afyonkarahisaspor
39%
Draws
31%
Diyarbakir Kayapinar
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Diyarbakir Kayapinar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular TFF 3. Lig Group 3 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Afyonkarahisaspor Clean Sheet 19%
Diyarbakir Kayapinar Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afyonkarahisaspor Diyarbakir Kayapinar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 10 10
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2012 3. Lig Group 3
Afyonkarahisaspor vs Diyarbakir Kayapinar
2:2
Dec 4, 2011 3. Lig Group 3
Diyarbakir Kayapinar vs Afyonkarahisaspor
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afyonkarahisaspor 31 / 100
Diyarbakir Kayapinar 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afyonkarahisaspor Diyarbakir Kayapinar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diyarbakir Kayapinar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Afyonkarahisaspor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Afyonkarahisaspor found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Afyonkarahisaspor VS Diyarbakir Kayapinar
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hatayspor36226855:2972
2Tarsus362051162:4165
3Sancaktepe361611954:3859
4Siirtspor3616101043:3458
5Karacabey Bld.361512951:3957
6Darica Genclerbirligi3614111150:4253
7Aydinspor3614111143:3653
8Erzurumspor FK361581346:4253
9Beykoz Ishakli Spor3614111149:4653
10Pazarspor3614111144:4553
11Yozgatspor3613121145:4351
12Dardanelspor3611131230:3146
13Kemerspor 20033610151131:3445
14Beylerbeyi SK3611111439:4044
15Ankara Demirspor361191642:4742
16Diyarbakir Kayapinar369111634:4638
17Afyonkarahisaspor369101738:5037
18Araklispor36882036:6432
19Carsambaspor36472525:7019