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Afyonspor vs Nazillispor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 Zafer Stadı, Afyonkarahisar
Sun, Apr 5, 2026
3 - 0
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Afyonspor host Nazillispor in the 3. Lig Group 4. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Nazillispor have shipped 7 goals a game lately, while Afyonspor have conceded 1.63 and scored 1.25. Head-to-head, Afyonspor have won 2 to Nazillispor's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 4.00 vs 0.88, favoring Afyonspor. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Afyonspor
6%
Draws
4%
Nazillispor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Afyonspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nazillispor haven't matched Afyonspor's recent run of results.
  • Afyonspor are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Afyonspor Clean Sheet 20%
Nazillispor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afyonspor Nazillispor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 0
Draws 7 4
Losses 18 26
Goals Scored 1.25 0.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 7.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Afyonspor vs Nazillispor
3:0
Dec 12, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Nazillispor vs Afyonspor
1:1
Mar 23, 2024 2. Lig White Group
Nazillispor vs Afyonspor
0:0
Nov 12, 2023 2. Lig White Group
Afyonspor vs Nazillispor
1:0
Jan 15, 2023 2. Lig White Group
Afyonspor vs Nazillispor
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afyonspor 85 / 100
Nazillispor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afyonspor Nazillispor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nazillispor let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Nazillispor registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Afyonspor has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Afyonspor VS Nazillispor
1.25 Goals Scored 0.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 7
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Afyonspor

(Home)
18 Apr
Altay
2 : 0
Afyonspor
12 Apr
Afyonspor
4 : 1
Tire 2021 FK
05 Apr
Afyonspor
3 : 0
Nazillispor
02 Apr
Soke 1970
5 : 2
Afyonspor
24 Mar
Afyonspor
1 : 1
Izmir Coruhlu
Page 1 of 6

Nazillispor

(Away)
18 Apr
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
3 : 0
Nazillispor
12 Apr
Nazillispor
0 : 3
Altay
05 Apr
Afyonspor
3 : 0
Nazillispor
28 Mar
Izmir Coruhlu
3 : 0
Nazillispor
24 Mar
Nazillispor
0 : 12
Eskisehir Anadolu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kutahyaspor30243369:1875
2Eskisehirspor30225374:1871
3Karsiyaka30207364:1967
4Ayvalikgucu30185759:2759
5Balikesirspor30177659:2458
6Usak Belediyespor Kulubu301531235:3548
7Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu301451137:3347
8Alanya 1221301081228:3338
9Tire 2021 FK301071347:3937
10Soke 1970301051539:4335
11Eskisehir Anadolu30981344:4235
12Altay30971429:4128
13Izmir Coruhlu30651928:6623
14Afyonspor30571831:6122
15Bornova 187730561935:6821
16Nazillispor3004267:1184
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)