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Agama vs ZPC Kariba

Zimbabwe Zimbabwe

Premier Soccer League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier Soccer League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Agama
20%
Draws
46%
ZPC Kariba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ZPC Kariba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Agama average 0.62 goals a game right now, well clear of ZPC Kariba's 0.59.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Agama Clean Sheet 20%
ZPC Kariba Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agama ZPC Kariba
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 5 5
Draws 7 15
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.62 0.59
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Premier Soccer League
Agama vs ZPC Kariba
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agama 36 / 100
ZPC Kariba 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agama ZPC Kariba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZPC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Agama scored in 50% of their last 26 outings.

ZPC Kariba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Agama went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Agama VS ZPC Kariba
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Agama

(Home)
01 Aug
Agama
0 : 1
Ngezi Platinum
26 Jul
Simba Bhora
1 : 2
Agama
23 Jul
Agama
0 : 2
Hardrock
18 Jul
MWOS
1 : 0
Agama
12 Jul
Agama
1 : 0
Triangle
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ZPC Kariba

(Away)
01 Aug
ZPC Kariba
0 : 0
Dynamos
26 Jul
Bulawayo Chiefs
1 : 0
ZPC Kariba
22 Jul
ZPC Kariba
1 : 0
Highlanders
18 Jul
TelOne
0 : 1
ZPC Kariba
11 Jul
ZPC Kariba
1 : 1
Hunters
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scottland 25 15 8 2 39:8 53
2 Hardrock 26 15 6 5 44:17 51
3 Dynamos 25 11 12 2 36:18 45
4 Herentals 26 13 6 7 29:22 45
5 Ngezi Platinum 26 11 11 4 31:23 44
6 CAPS Utd 26 11 9 6 32:24 42
7 Highlanders 25 8 13 4 23:19 37
8 MWOS 26 8 11 7 23:20 35
9 Simba Bhora 26 8 10 8 27:26 34
10 Chicken Inn 25 9 6 10 19:22 33
11 Platinum 26 6 14 6 17:20 32
12 Bulawayo Chiefs 26 7 9 10 23:29 30
13 ZPC Kariba 26 5 13 8 16:21 28
14 Hunters 26 5 12 9 20:31 27
15 Agama 26 5 7 14 16:34 22
16 TelOne 26 4 8 14 17:34 20
17 Manica 26 4 7 15 14:40 19
18 Triangle 26 3 6 17 16:34 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)