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Stadium Background

Agde vs Gap

France France

CFA - Group C 2011/2012
3 - 1
FT
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group C 2011/2012 game between Agde and Gap finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Agde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Agde
15%
Draws
0%
Gap
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Agde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Agde carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Agde a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular CFA - Group C 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Agde Clean Sheet 20%
Gap Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agde Gap
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 1
Draws 3 6
Losses 16 23
Goals Scored 1.17 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2012 National 1 - Group C
Agde vs Gap
3:1
Mar 28, 2012 National 1 - Group C
Gap vs Agde
0:4
Feb 20, 2010 National 1 - Group B
Agde vs Gap
2:2
Sep 5, 2009 National 1 - Group B
Gap vs Agde
0:0
May 23, 2009 National 1 - Group B
Agde vs Gap
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agde 76 / 100
Gap 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agde Gap

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gap conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Away concern: Gap has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Agde scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Agde VS Gap
1.13 Goals Scored 0.6
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.2
50% Over 1.5 80%
38% Over 2.5 80%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Agde

(Home)
16 Nov
Agde
0 : 2
Montpellier
30 Nov
Agde
1 : 5
Le Puy-en-Velay
16 Nov
Agde
2 : 1
Romorantin
30 Oct
Agde
2 : 3
Colomiers
28 Nov
Bas d'Avignon
1 : 0
Agde
Page 1 of 6

Gap

(Away)
02 Jun
Hyeres
1 : 0
Gap
26 May
Gap
1 : 2
St Etienne II
19 May
Albi
3 : 0
Gap
12 May
Gap
1 : 2
Stade Montois
04 May
Agde
3 : 1
Gap
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pont Du Gard 34 20 10 4 55:29 104
2 Rodez 34 17 9 8 43:26 94
3 Monaco II 34 17 5 12 56:46 90
4 Cannes 34 15 10 9 53:39 87
5 Hyeres 34 14 11 9 40:43 87
6 Colomiers 34 13 14 7 45:30 87
7 St Etienne II 34 14 10 10 57:35 86
8 Bordeaux II 34 14 7 13 34:32 83
9 Tarbes 34 12 10 12 44:41 80
10 Stade Montois 34 11 13 10 39:35 80
11 Agde 34 11 11 12 38:35 78
12 Athletico Marseille 34 10 13 11 35:50 76
13 Pau 34 10 12 12 33:35 76
14 Marignane GCB 34 11 8 15 40:53 75
15 Beziers 34 10 10 14 39:50 74
16 Pontet 34 9 9 16 45:57 70
17 Albi 34 8 7 19 34:51 65
18 Gap 34 1 7 26 22:71 44
Promotion - National 2012/2013 (Main)