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Agigea vs Progresul Fundulea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Agigea host Progresul Fundulea in the Liga 3 - Seria 4. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Progresul Fundulea have shipped 1.48 goals a game lately, while Agigea have conceded 1.69 and scored 1.28. Past meetings favor Progresul Fundulea slightly — 1-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.56, favoring Progresul Fundulea. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Agigea
20%
Draws
42%
Progresul Fundulea
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Progresul Fundulea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Progresul Fundulea lately — more wins on the board than Agigea.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Progresul Fundulea have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Agigea Clean Sheet 15%
Progresul Fundulea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agigea Progresul Fundulea
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 5 1
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.28 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Agigea vs Progresul Fundulea
0:2
Feb 28, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Agigea vs Progresul Fundulea
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Progresul Fundulea vs Agigea
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agigea 35 / 100
Progresul Fundulea 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agigea Progresul Fundulea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progresul Fundulea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Agigea's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Progresul Fundulea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Solid form: Agigea remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Agigea VS Progresul Fundulea
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Agigea

(Home)
10 Oct
Agigea
2 : 2
Otelul 2
02 Oct
Calarasi
0 : 0
Agigea
26 Sept
Agigea
0 : 1
Inainte Modelu
23 Sept
Agigea
2 : 1
Unirea Branistea
19 Sept
Portul Constanta
0 : 1
Agigea
Page 1 of 6

Progresul Fundulea

(Away)
10 Oct
Sporting Liesti
0 : 2
Progresul Fundulea
03 Oct
Progresul Fundulea
2 : 1
Gloria Baneasa
26 Sept
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
2 : 1
Progresul Fundulea
23 Sept
Progresul Fundulea
4 : 0
Axiopolis Cernavoda
19 Sept
Unirea Branistea
4 : 2
Progresul Fundulea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agricola Borcea 8 7 0 1 27:9 21
2 Inainte Modelu 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
3 Progresul Fundulea 8 5 0 3 18:12 15
4 Agigea 8 4 3 1 13:8 15
5 Axiopolis Cernavoda 8 4 1 3 16:15 13
6 Sporting Liesti 8 4 0 4 24:18 12
7 Unirea Branistea 8 4 0 4 15:13 12
8 Recolta Gheorghe Doja 8 4 0 4 14:16 12
9 Calarasi 8 3 1 4 7:12 10
10 Gloria Baneasa 8 2 1 5 8:16 7
11 Otelul 2 8 1 1 6 8:22 4
12 Portul Constanta 8 1 0 7 11:26 3
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 4 (Relegation Group)