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Agios Ierotheos vs Ethnikos Piraeus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ethnikos Piraeus in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ethnikos Piraeus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Agios Ierotheos
15%
Draws
85%
Ethnikos Piraeus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ethnikos Piraeus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ethnikos Piraeus lately — more wins on the board than Agios Ierotheos.
  • Model gives Ethnikos Piraeus a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Agios Ierotheos Clean Sheet 19%
Ethnikos Piraeus Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agios Ierotheos Ethnikos Piraeus
Matches Played 30 46
Wins 4 24
Draws 3 17
Losses 23 5
Goals Scored 0.57 1.35
Goals Conceded 3.13 0.65
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Agios Ierotheos vs Ethnikos Piraeus
1:3
Nov 27, 2022 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Ethnikos Piraeus vs Agios Ierotheos
0:0
Jan 19, 2020 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Ethnikos Piraeus vs Agios Ierotheos
1:2
Oct 6, 2019 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Agios Ierotheos vs Ethnikos Piraeus
2:0
Mar 12, 2017 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ethnikos Piraeus vs Agios Ierotheos
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agios Ierotheos 10 / 100
Ethnikos Piraeus 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agios Ierotheos Ethnikos Piraeus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethnikos Piraeus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Agios Ierotheos scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Ethnikos Piraeus has conceded goals in 43% of their last 46 outings.

Away concern: Ethnikos Piraeus has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ethnikos Piraeus
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Agios Ierotheos

(Home)
30 Apr
Thyella Diastavroseos
7 : 0
Agios Ierotheos
23 Apr
Agios Ierotheos
0 : 4
Keratsini
12 Apr
Giouchtas
3 : 0
Agios Ierotheos
08 Apr
Agios Ierotheos
1 : 5
Poros
02 Apr
Almyros Gaziou
1 : 0
Agios Ierotheos
Page 1 of 6

Ethnikos Piraeus

(Away)
04 Oct
Ethnikos Piraeus
1 : 1
Amfiali
27 Sept
PAO Rouf
0 : 1
Ethnikos Piraeus
17 May
Zakynthos
2 : 1
Ethnikos Piraeus
13 May
Ethnikos Piraeus
2 : 0
Pyrgos
10 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 0
Ethnikos Piraeus
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Giouchtas 26 13 11 2 38:18 50
2 Marko 26 12 10 4 31:11 46
3 Thyella Diastavroseos 26 13 3 10 39:27 42
4 Fostiras 26 10 10 6 38:20 40
5 Ethnikos Piraeus 26 9 13 4 25:14 40
6 Paraskevi 26 8 13 5 29:22 37
7 Almyros Gaziou 26 10 7 9 38:30 37
8 Agios Nikolaos 26 9 10 7 33:26 37
9 Aris Petroupolis 26 9 10 7 32:24 37
10 Keratsini 26 8 12 6 31:20 36
11 AE Moschato 26 10 3 13 30:42 33
12 Poros 26 8 8 10 29:32 29
13 AO Tympakiou 26 4 5 17 24:49 17
14 Agios Ierotheos 26 0 3 23 11:93 3
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)