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Agnonese vs Fabriano Cerreto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Agnonese in this Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Agnonese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Agnonese
20%
Draws
16%
Fabriano Cerreto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Agnonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Agnonese have won more games recently than Fabriano Cerreto.
  • Agnonese are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Agnonese Clean Sheet 15%
Fabriano Cerreto Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agnonese Fabriano Cerreto
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 9 3
Draws 9 5
Losses 21 22
Goals Scored 1.18 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.95 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Agnonese vs Fabriano Cerreto
1:0
Sep 10, 2017 Serie D - Group F
Fabriano Cerreto vs Agnonese
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agnonese 57 / 100
Fabriano Cerreto 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agnonese Fabriano Cerreto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Agnonese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fabriano Cerreto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Agnonese scored in 62% of their last 39 games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Fabriano Cerreto's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Agnonese VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Agnonese

(Home)
19 Jun
Agnonese
2 : 2
Montegiorgio
16 Jun
Castelfidardo
4 : 0
Agnonese
13 Jun
Agnonese
2 : 4
Aprilia
06 Jun
Agnonese
0 : 2
Roma City
30 May
Agnonese
1 : 0
Porto Sant'Elpidio
Page 1 of 8

Fabriano Cerreto

(Away)
05 May
Fabriano Cerreto
1 : 1
Nerostellati Pratola
29 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
3 : 2
Fabriano Cerreto
22 Apr
Fabriano Cerreto
1 : 3
Sangiustese
15 Apr
Vis Pesaro
3 : 0
Fabriano Cerreto
08 Apr
Fabriano Cerreto
1 : 2
Monticelli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vis Pesaro 34 23 4 7 61:29 73
2 Matelica 34 22 5 7 66:28 71
3 Avezzano 34 16 14 4 51:26 62
4 Pineto 34 15 12 7 53:41 57
5 Aquila Calcio 34 15 10 9 57:40 55
6 ASD Francavilla 34 14 11 9 47:38 53
7 San Marino Calcio 34 15 6 13 45:35 51
8 Vastese 34 15 6 13 55:50 51
9 Sangiustese 34 13 9 12 39:41 48
10 Campobasso 34 13 10 11 41:40 45
11 Castelfidardo 34 12 8 14 43:54 44
12 Recanatese 34 12 7 15 47:47 43
13 Agnonese 34 11 8 15 34:35 41
14 Notaresco Calcio 34 11 7 16 42:51 40
15 Jesina 34 8 10 16 32:46 34
16 Monticelli 34 5 15 14 25:45 30
17 Fabriano Cerreto 34 5 5 24 29:69 20
18 Nerostellati Pratola 34 3 9 22 19:71 18
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 (Play Offs)