Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Agnonese vs Porto Sant'Elpidio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Sapone F.

AI Match Summary

Agnonese in this Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Agnonese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Agnonese
20%
Draws
51%
Porto Sant'Elpidio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Porto Sant'Elpidio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Porto Sant'Elpidio lately — more wins on the board than Agnonese.
  • Model gives Porto Sant'Elpidio a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Agnonese Clean Sheet 17%
Porto Sant'Elpidio Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agnonese Porto Sant'Elpidio
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 4
Draws 6 3
Losses 21 23
Goals Scored 0.8 0.67
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Agnonese vs Porto Sant'Elpidio
1:0
May 5, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Porto Sant'Elpidio vs Agnonese
3:1
May 3, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Porto Sant'Elpidio vs Agnonese
0:0
Dec 22, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Agnonese vs Porto Sant'Elpidio
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Agnonese Compare

Top Goalscorer Sapone F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Porto Sant'Elpidio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agnonese 20 / 100
Porto Sant'Elpidio 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agnonese Porto Sant'Elpidio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porto Sant'Elpidio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porto Sant'Elpidio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Agnonese's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Agnonese remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Agnonese VS Porto Sant'Elpidio
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Agnonese

(Home)
19 Jun
Agnonese
2 : 2
Montegiorgio
16 Jun
Castelfidardo
4 : 0
Agnonese
13 Jun
Agnonese
2 : 4
Aprilia
06 Jun
Agnonese
0 : 2
Roma City
30 May
Agnonese
1 : 0
Porto Sant'Elpidio
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Porto Sant'Elpidio

(Away)
19 Jun
Porto Sant'Elpidio
2 : 0
Notaresco Calcio
16 Jun
Vastese
1 : 0
Porto Sant'Elpidio
13 Jun
Porto Sant'Elpidio
3 : 2
Castelnuovo Vomano
06 Jun
Campobasso
1 : 1
Porto Sant'Elpidio
30 May
Agnonese
1 : 0
Porto Sant'Elpidio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campobasso 34 21 9 4 63:29 72
2 Notaresco Calcio 34 18 10 6 59:34 64
3 Pineto 34 15 11 8 45:33 56
4 Cynthialbalonga 34 14 14 6 51:35 56
5 Matese 34 15 11 8 46:38 56
6 Castelfidardo 34 14 13 7 46:33 55
7 Recanatese 34 13 11 10 62:45 50
8 Castelnuovo Vomano 34 14 8 12 53:53 50
9 Vastese 34 12 13 9 45:37 48
10 Montegiorgio 34 13 7 14 42:42 46
11 FC Rieti 34 12 8 14 38:42 44
12 Aprilia 34 11 11 12 43:49 44
13 Roma City 34 8 16 10 40:41 40
14 US Tolentino 34 9 13 12 52:53 40
15 Vastogirardi 34 10 10 14 46:51 40
16 Giulianova 34 7 10 17 33:50 31
17 Porto Sant'Elpidio 34 4 5 25 22:63 17
18 Agnonese 34 3 6 25 25:83 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 (Play Offs)