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Agnonese vs Sangiustese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Allegra E.
(Penalty)
52' Event
Acosta P.
54' Event
Acosta P.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2019/2020 game between Agnonese and Sangiustese finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Agnonese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Agnonese
15%
Draws
0%
Sangiustese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Agnonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Agnonese come out ahead of Sangiustese on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sangiustese a 0% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Agnonese Clean Sheet 15%
Sangiustese Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agnonese Sangiustese
Matches Played 32 22
Wins 5 3
Draws 6 6
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 1 0.82
Goals Conceded 2.28 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Agnonese vs Sangiustese
3:0
Oct 6, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Sangiustese vs Agnonese
3:5
Feb 24, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Sangiustese vs Agnonese
1:0
Nov 3, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Agnonese vs Sangiustese
0:0
May 6, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Agnonese vs Sangiustese
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Agnonese Compare

Top Goalscorer Acosta P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Sangiustese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agnonese 27 / 100
Sangiustese 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agnonese Sangiustese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sangiustese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sangiustese conceded in 82% of 22 recent games.

Sangiustese's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Agnonese scored in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Agnonese VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Agnonese

(Home)
19 Jun
Agnonese
2 : 2
Montegiorgio
16 Jun
Castelfidardo
4 : 0
Agnonese
13 Jun
Agnonese
2 : 4
Aprilia
06 Jun
Agnonese
0 : 2
Roma City
30 May
Agnonese
1 : 0
Porto Sant'Elpidio
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Sangiustese

(Away)
01 Mar
Sangiustese
0 : 1
Montegiorgio
23 Feb
Cattolica Calcio
1 : 0
Sangiustese
16 Feb
Sangiustese
0 : 2
Matelica
09 Feb
Agnonese
3 : 0
Sangiustese
02 Feb
Sangiustese
1 : 2
Vastese
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