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Agnonese vs Vastese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Diarra B.

AI Match Summary

Vastese in this Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vastese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Agnonese
15%
Draws
51%
Vastese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vastese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Agnonese haven't matched Vastese's recent run of results.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Agnonese Clean Sheet 20%
Vastese Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agnonese Vastese
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 3 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 0.8 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Agnonese vs Vastese
0:1
Nov 22, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Vastese vs Agnonese
2:2
Apr 9, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Agnonese vs Vastese
0:0
Dec 1, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Vastese vs Agnonese
2:1
May 12, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Vastese vs Agnonese
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Agnonese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Vastese Compare

Top Goalscorer Diarra B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agnonese 32 / 100
Vastese 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agnonese Vastese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vastese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vastese has conceded goals in 66% of their last 35 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Vastese's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Agnonese's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vastese
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Agnonese

(Home)
19 Jun
Agnonese
2 : 2
Montegiorgio
16 Jun
Castelfidardo
4 : 0
Agnonese
13 Jun
Agnonese
2 : 4
Aprilia
06 Jun
Agnonese
0 : 2
Roma City
30 May
Agnonese
1 : 0
Porto Sant'Elpidio
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Vastese

(Away)
11 Aug
Vastese
1 : 0
Pineto
14 May
Vastese
1 : 2
Termoli
07 May
Pineto
2 : 1
Vastese
30 Apr
Vastese
1 : 0
Nuova Florida
23 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1
Vastese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campobasso 34 21 9 4 63:29 72
2 Notaresco Calcio 34 18 10 6 59:34 64
3 Pineto 34 15 11 8 45:33 56
4 Cynthialbalonga 34 14 14 6 51:35 56
5 Matese 34 15 11 8 46:38 56
6 Castelfidardo 34 14 13 7 46:33 55
7 Recanatese 34 13 11 10 62:45 50
8 Castelnuovo Vomano 34 14 8 12 53:53 50
9 Vastese 34 12 13 9 45:37 48
10 Montegiorgio 34 13 7 14 42:42 46
11 FC Rieti 34 12 8 14 38:42 44
12 Aprilia 34 11 11 12 43:49 44
13 Roma City 34 8 16 10 40:41 40
14 US Tolentino 34 9 13 12 52:53 40
15 Vastogirardi 34 10 10 14 46:51 40
16 Giulianova 34 7 10 17 33:50 31
17 Porto Sant'Elpidio 34 4 5 25 22:63 17
18 Agnonese 34 3 6 25 25:83 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 (Play Offs)