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Agrimaq vs Guarany Alagoano

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
26' Event
68'

AI Match Summary

The Alagoano 2 2025 game between Agrimaq and Guarany Alagoano finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarany Alagoano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Agrimaq
44%
Draws
20%
Guarany Alagoano
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Agrimaq haven't matched Guarany Alagoano's recent run of results.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Guarany Alagoano have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Agrimaq Clean Sheet 12%
Guarany Alagoano Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agrimaq Guarany Alagoano
Matches Played 9 28
Wins 4 15
Draws 1 7
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 Alagoano 2
Guarany Alagoano vs Agrimaq
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Alagoano 2
Agrimaq vs Guarany Alagoano
0:2
Aug 23, 2025 Alagoano 2
Agrimaq vs Guarany Alagoano
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agrimaq 35 / 100
Guarany Alagoano 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agrimaq Guarany Alagoano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Agrimaq found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (9 games).

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Agrimaq stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Guarany Alagoano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Agrimaq VS Guarany Alagoano
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guarany Alagoano770016:221
2Cruzeiro Arapiraca751111:416
3Dimensao Capela740312:712
4Agrimaq740313:1112
5Zumbi731310:610
6Alianca720510:126
7Miguelense72058:136
8Jacioba70073:280