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Agua Santa U20 vs Sfera U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Teixeira L.
(Penalty)
35' Event
Santana K.
40' Event
Santana K.

AI Match Summary

The Paulista U20 game between Agua Santa U20 and Sfera U20 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sfera U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Agua Santa U20
15%
Draws
46%
Sfera U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sfera U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Sfera U20's 1.46 goals per match outpaces what Agua Santa U20 have produced (1.3).
  • Model gives Sfera U20 a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Agua Santa U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Sfera U20 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agua Santa U20 Sfera U20
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 2
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.3 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Paulista U20
Agua Santa U20 vs Sfera U20
1:3
Jan 8, 2026 Copinha
Sfera U20 vs Agua Santa U20
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Agua Santa U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sfera U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Santana K.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agua Santa U20 10 / 100
Sfera U20 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agua Santa U20 Sfera U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sfera U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Agua Santa U20 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Sfera U20 conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

Agua Santa U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Agua Santa U20 VS Sfera U20
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Agua Santa U20

(Home)
25 Sept
Agua Santa U20
0 : 2
Capivariano U20
19 Sept
Capivariano U20
0 : 1
Agua Santa U20
12 Sept
Bragantino U20
8 : 0
Agua Santa U20
08 Sept
Agua Santa U20
1 : 2
Palmeiras U20
21 Aug
Agua Santa U20
1 : 0
Tanabi U20
Page 1 of 6

Sfera U20

(Away)
25 Sept
Sfera U20
2 : 0
Piracicaba U20
18 Sept
Piracicaba U20
1 : 0
Sfera U20
12 Sept
Palmeiras U20
3 : 0
Sfera U20
04 Sept
Sfera U20
5 : 2
Ituano U20
28 Aug
Sfera U20
1 : 1
Gremio Prudente U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)