Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Agua Santa vs Osasco Sporting - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Juninho
62' Event
Nene Bonilha
86' Event
Cristiano

AI Match Summary

Agua Santa in this Paulista A2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Agua Santa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Agua Santa
20%
Draws
29%
Osasco Sporting
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Agua Santa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Agua Santa have won more games recently than Osasco Sporting.
  • Win probability leans Agua Santa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Paulista A2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Agua Santa Clean Sheet 68%
Osasco Sporting Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agua Santa Osasco Sporting
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 10
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.32 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Paulista A2
Agua Santa vs Osasco Sporting
2:1
Aug 17, 2022 Copa Paulista
Osasco Sporting vs Agua Santa
1:1
Jul 13, 2022 Copa Paulista
Agua Santa vs Osasco Sporting
1:1
May 6, 2021 Paulista A2
Agua Santa vs Osasco Sporting
1:1
Feb 24, 2018 Paulista A2
Agua Santa vs Osasco Sporting
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Agua Santa Compare

Top Goalscorer Nene Bonilha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cristiano
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Osasco Sporting Compare

Top Goalscorer Juninho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agua Santa 95 / 100
Osasco Sporting 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agua Santa Osasco Sporting

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Agua Santa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Agua Santa found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Osasco Sporting conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Agua Santa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Agua Santa VS Osasco Sporting
1.38 Goals Scored 0.67
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.83
63% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 33%
50% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Agua Santa

(Home)
27 Jun
Agua Santa
1 : 2
Velo Clube
20 Jun
Velo Clube
0 : 0
Agua Santa
06 Jun
America RJ
1 : 0
Agua Santa
30 May
Agua Santa
4 : 1
Madureira
23 May
Agua Santa
2 : 0
Pouso Alegre
Page 1 of 7

Osasco Sporting

(Away)
22 Aug
Juventus-SP
5 : 0
Osasco Sporting
16 Aug
Osasco Sporting
1 : 2
Primavera EC
09 Aug
Osasco Sporting
1 : 1
Paulista
01 Aug
Paulista
0 : 2
Osasco Sporting
25 Jul
Primavera EC
2 : 0
Osasco Sporting
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agua Santa 15 10 1 4 24:14 31
2 Ferroviaria 15 8 4 3 22:12 28
3 Ituano 15 8 4 3 22:14 28
4 Sao Jose EC 15 8 3 4 21:13 27
5 Sertaozinho 15 7 4 4 19:19 25
6 Votuporanguense 15 7 3 5 16:17 24
7 Juventus-SP 15 6 5 4 22:20 23
8 Piracicaba 15 6 4 5 16:15 22
9 Osasco Sporting 15 5 7 3 22:18 22
10 Santo Andre 15 5 3 7 16:22 18
11 Taubate 15 3 8 4 22:23 17
12 Internacional de Limeira 15 4 4 7 15:18 16
13 Linense 15 2 7 6 12:18 13
14 Monte Azul 15 2 6 7 17:22 12
15 Gremio Prudente 15 1 9 5 12:16 12
16 Sao Bento 15 1 2 12 8:25 5
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Second stage)
Relegation - Paulista A3 (Main)