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Agua Santa vs Taubate

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Romarinho
(Penalty)
39' Event
Romarinho
58' Event
Nicholas

AI Match Summary

Taubate in this Paulista A2 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Taubate.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Agua Santa
39%
Draws
31%
Taubate
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Agua Santa lately — more wins on the board than Taubate.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Agua Santa Clean Sheet 68%
Taubate Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agua Santa Taubate
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 6 13
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Paulista A2
Agua Santa vs Taubate
2:3
Apr 24, 2021 Paulista A2
Agua Santa vs Taubate
1:0
Apr 7, 2019 Paulista A2
Agua Santa vs Taubate
2:0
Apr 3, 2019 Paulista A2
Taubate vs Agua Santa
0:5
Mar 23, 2019 Paulista A2
Agua Santa vs Taubate
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Agua Santa Compare

Top Goalscorer Nicholas
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roger Fellipo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Taubate Compare

Top Goalscorer Romarinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Italo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agua Santa 41 / 100
Taubate 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agua Santa Taubate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Agua Santa's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Taubate conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Agua Santa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Agua Santa VS Taubate
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Agua Santa

(Home)
27 Jun
Agua Santa
1 : 2
Velo Clube
20 Jun
Velo Clube
0 : 0
Agua Santa
06 Jun
America RJ
1 : 0
Agua Santa
30 May
Agua Santa
4 : 1
Madureira
23 May
Agua Santa
2 : 0
Pouso Alegre
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Taubate

(Away)
07 Mar
Taubate
1 : 1
Gremio Prudente
28 Feb
Sao Bento
2 : 3
Taubate
25 Feb
Taubate
1 : 1
Piracicaba
21 Feb
Agua Santa
2 : 3
Taubate
18 Feb
Taubate
1 : 1
Santo Andre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Agua Santa15101424:1431
2Ferroviaria1584322:1228
3Ituano1584322:1428
4Sao Jose EC1583421:1327
5Sertaozinho1574419:1925
6Votuporanguense1573516:1724
7Juventus-SP1565422:2023
8Piracicaba1564516:1522
9Osasco Sporting1557322:1822
10Santo Andre1553716:2218
11Taubate1538422:2317
12Internacional de Limeira1544715:1816
13Linense1527612:1813
14Monte Azul1526717:2212
15Gremio Prudente1519512:1612
16Sao Bento1512128:255
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Second stage)
Relegation - Paulista A3 (Main)