Sport Picks
Match Events
33'
33'
Vitinho
83'
83'
Gabriel Rossetto
1'
1'
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Velo Clube advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Agua Santa carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Agua Santa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Velo Clube, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Agua Santa Clean Sheet 68%
Velo Clube Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Agua Santa | Velo Clube |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 27, 2026 Serie D
Agua Santa vs Velo Clube
1:2
Jun 20, 2026 Serie D
Velo Clube vs Agua Santa
0:0
Feb 23, 2025 Paulista
Velo Clube vs Agua Santa
1:0
Feb 27, 2021 Paulista A2
Velo Clube vs Agua Santa
0:2
Apr 16, 2017 Paulista A2
Velo Clube vs Agua Santa
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Agua Santa Compare
Top Goalscorer Gabriel Rossetto
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Velo Clube Compare
Top Goalscorer Vitinho
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Agua Santa 41 / 100
Velo Clube 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Agua Santa Velo Clube
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AGU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Agua Santa's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Velo Clube's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Agua Santa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Agua Santa VS Velo Clube
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Agua Santa
(Home) 27 Jun
Agua Santa
1 : 2 Velo Clube
20 Jun
Velo Clube
0 : 0 Agua Santa
06 Jun
America RJ
1 : 0 Agua Santa
30 May
Agua Santa
4 : 1 Madureira
23 May
Agua Santa
2 : 0 Pouso Alegre
Page 1 of 7
27 Jun
Agua Santa
1 : 2 Velo Clube
30 May
Agua Santa
4 : 1 Madureira
23 May
Agua Santa
2 : 0 Pouso Alegre
02 May
Agua Santa
1 : 0 Portuguesa RJ
25 Apr
Agua Santa
0 : 1 Portuguesa
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Velo Clube
(Away) 12 Jul
Sao Luiz
3 : 1 Velo Clube
04 Jul
Velo Clube
2 : 1 Sao Luiz
27 Jun
Agua Santa
1 : 2 Velo Clube
20 Jun
Velo Clube
0 : 0 Agua Santa
07 Jun
Velo Clube
3 : 1 Marica
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12 Jul
Sao Luiz
3 : 1 Velo Clube
27 Jun
Agua Santa
1 : 2 Velo Clube
30 May
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 0 Velo Clube
16 May
Noroeste
3 : 0 Velo Clube
03 May
Nova Iguacu
0 : 0 Velo Clube
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube1
Manauara3
Brasiliense0
Goiatuba EC1
Imperatriz2
Maracana1
Central SC1
Ferroviario3
Fluminense-PI0
America RN4
Sampaio Correa2
Trem3
Sao Raimundo RR2
Porto Velho3
Mixto1
Gama3
Monte Roraima3
Guapore4
Ceilandia2
Luverdense3
Parnahyba2
Aguia De Maraba3
AE Altos1
ABC2
Araguaina0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)1
Aparecidense1
Capital5
Tuna Luso2
Iguatu3
Maguary2
Piaui1
Portuguesa RJ4
Noroeste2
EC Sao Jose (PA)3
Santa Catarina2
Jacuipense1
Treze PB3
CRAC1
Tombense0
Serra Branca3
Juazeirense0
Rio Branco ES2
Uberlandia4
Sampaio Correa FE1
Portuguesa2
FC Cascavel3
Marcilio Dias4
Sao Luiz3
Blumenau2
Velo Clube2
Agua Santa1
Lagarto1
CSA3
Vitoria ES1
Betim FC2
America RJ1
Piracicaba3
Sao Joseense1
Cianorte2
ASA2
Sergipe1
Ivinhema4
Democrata GV2
1/16-finals
Manauara2
Goiatuba EC3
Imperatriz1
Ferroviario4
America RN6
Trem2
Porto Velho2
Gama3
Guapore0
Luverdense1
Aguia De Maraba2
ABC4
Nacional-AM (Manaus)2
Capital1
Iguatu5
Maguary3
Portuguesa RJ0
EC Sao Jose (PA)1
Treze PB3
CRAC2
Serra Branca2
Uberlandia3
Portuguesa3
Marcilio Dias1
Sao Luiz4
Velo Clube3
CSA4
Betim FC1
Piracicaba0
Cianorte4
ASA6
Ivinhema1
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC3
Ferroviario0
America RN1
Gama0
Luverdense0
ABC0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)1
Iguatu1
EC Sao Jose (PA)2
Treze PB1
Uberlandia2
Portuguesa0
Sao Luiz0
CSA0
Cianorte0
ASA1
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-