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Aguai U20 vs EC Sao Bernardo U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Santos T.
28' Event
Henrique Peralta G.
60' Event
Santos T.

AI Match Summary

EC Sao Bernardo U20 in this Paulista U20 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored EC Sao Bernardo U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Aguai U20
30%
Draws
70%
EC Sao Bernardo U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: EC Sao Bernardo U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to EC Sao Bernardo U20 lately — more wins on the board than Aguai U20.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on EC Sao Bernardo U20 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Aguai U20 Clean Sheet 10%
EC Sao Bernardo U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguai U20 EC Sao Bernardo U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Paulista U20
Aguai U20 vs EC Sao Bernardo U20
0:4
Jun 20, 2025 Paulista U20
EC Sao Bernardo U20 vs Aguai U20
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguai U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

EC Sao Bernardo U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Henrique Peralta G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguai U20 10 / 100
EC Sao Bernardo U20 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguai U20 EC Sao Bernardo U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Sao Bernardo U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

EC Sao Bernardo U20 has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Aguai U20 scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Difficult form: EC Sao Bernardo U20 registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aguai U20 VS EC Sao Bernardo U20
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguai U20

(Home)
12 Sept
Novorizontino U20
1 : 0
Aguai U20
04 Sept
Aguai U20
0 : 2
Santo Andre U20
14 Aug
Sao Caetano U20
3 : 0
Aguai U20
11 Aug
Aguai U20
0 : 4
EC Sao Bernardo U20
07 Aug
Aguai U20
0 : 3
Sao Paulo U20
Page 1 of 6

EC Sao Bernardo U20

(Away)
25 Sept
Sao Paulo U20
2 : 0
EC Sao Bernardo U20
21 Sept
EC Sao Bernardo U20
0 : 0
Sao Paulo U20
12 Sept
Botafogo SP U20
1 : 1
EC Sao Bernardo U20
04 Sept
EC Sao Bernardo U20
4 : 1
CA Bandeirante U20
21 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo U20
0 : 0
Velo Clube U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)