Sport Picks
Agueda vs GD Tourizense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Taça de Portugal 2016/2017 Estádio Municipal de Águeda, Águeda 
AI Match Summary
Agueda in this Taça de Portugal 2016/2017 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
15%
76%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GD Tourizense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to GD Tourizense lately — more wins on the board than Agueda.
- Model gives GD Tourizense a 76% chance of winning this.
- GD Tourizense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Agueda, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Agueda have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Agueda Clean Sheet 22%
GD Tourizense Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Agueda | GD Tourizense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 25 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 8, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Agueda vs GD Tourizense
1:0
Oct 9, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
GD Tourizense vs Agueda
3:1
Sep 4, 2016 Taça de Portugal
Agueda vs GD Tourizense
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Agueda 10 / 100
GD Tourizense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Agueda GD Tourizense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GD Tourizense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.
GD Tourizense let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Attacking prowess: Agueda scored in 56% of their last 25 outings.
Agueda has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Agueda VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Agueda
(Home) 01 Oct
Agueda
0 : 1 Pevidem
10 Apr
Sanjoanense
1 : 0 Agueda
03 Apr
Agueda
0 : 1 Sao Joao de Ver
21 Mar
Agueda
0 : 2 Castro Daire
12 Mar
Agueda
0 : 0 Canelas 2010
Page 1 of 5
01 Oct
Agueda
0 : 1 Pevidem
03 Apr
Agueda
0 : 1 Sao Joao de Ver
21 Mar
Agueda
0 : 2 Castro Daire
12 Mar
Agueda
0 : 0 Canelas 2010
01 Mar
Agueda
1 : 3 Anadia
Page 1 of 3
GD Tourizense
(Away) 18 Jun
SC Mirandela
3 : 0 GD Tourizense
11 Jun
GD Tourizense
2 : 0 SC Mirandela
04 Jun
Aljustrelense
1 : 0 GD Tourizense
28 May
GD Tourizense
2 : 0 Aljustrelense
14 May
GD Tourizense
3 : 0 Cinfaes
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18 Jun
SC Mirandela
3 : 0 GD Tourizense
04 Jun
Aljustrelense
1 : 0 GD Tourizense
07 May
Nogueirense
1 : 1 GD Tourizense
15 Apr
Academica Coimbra SF
2 : 2 GD Tourizense
02 Apr
Sanjoanense
2 : 1 GD Tourizense
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/128-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beneditense 2
Sp. Lourel 1
Malveira 1
Santa Iria 2
Leiria 10
CF Os Gavionenses 0
TBD -
Portimonense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boavista -
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moura AC 2
Beira-Mar Almada 0
TBD -
Aves -
Vitoria Sernache 1
Ac. Fundao 0
FC Felgueiras 1
Camacha 2
Vilaverdense FC 3
Vilar de Perdizes 0
TBD -
Vilafranquense -
Braga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barrosas -
TBD -
Sendim 1
AD Oliveirense 8
Rio Ave -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lusitano GC -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Varzim -
TBD -
TBD -
Anadia -
Sousense -
TBD -
GD Tourizense 2
Agueda 3
Freamunde -
TBD -
TBD -
Cerva -
GD Joane 1
Barrosas 0
TBD -
Covilha -
Sporting CP -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mosteirense 3
SL Cartaxo 2
TBD -
Famalicao -
SC Farense 2
Lusitano GC 0
Sao Roque 0
SC Angrense 1
Coimbroes 3
Gondomar 0
Sporting Ideal 0
SC Praiense 2
SB Castelo Branco 8
Naval 0
Alianca de Gandra 0
Santa Eulalia 1
Torre De Moncorvo 2
Aguiar da Beira 1
SC Espinho 0
Cinfaes 4
Trofense 5
CF Canical 0
CD Gouveia 0
Beira Mar 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Setubal -
Torreense 1
Mafra 0
SC Mirandela 2
Maria de Fonte 3
Gafetense 1
Sintrense 0
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
Estarreja 4
FC Pampilhosa 1
CDC Montalegre 0
Ponte da Barca 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
FC Porto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atletico Arcos 1
GD Uniao Torcatense 0
Anadia 1
Gafanha 2
U. Madeira -
TBD -
FC Cesarense 1
Moimenta da Beira 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chaves -
Estoril -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sao Roque -
TBD -
Fazendense 0
Caldas SC 3
Mortagua FC 1
Nogueirense 0
TBD -
CF Os Gavionenses -
Viana Alentejo 3
CDR Quarteirense 0
TBD -
Cova De Piedade -
Gil Vicente -
TBD -
TBD -
CD Rabo Peixe -
Pinhalnovense 2
Lagoa 0
TBD -
Casa Pia -
Lusitano VRSA 3
Louletano 0
Casa Pia 2
Fabril do Barreiro 3
Pedras Salgadas 1
GD Braganca 0
SC Salgueiros 2
Sanjoanense 4
Penafiel -
TBD -
Trancoso 0
Oliveirense 2
Penalva do Castelo 3
Academica Coimbra SF 2
Cerva 0
Amarante FC 2
Moreirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alcobaca 1
GD Sourense 0
TBD -
Vizela -
Feirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sendim -
TBD -
Vinha da Rainha 1
Alcanenense 4
BSAD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CD Gouveia -
TBD -
TBD -
Academica -
Leixoes -
TBD -
Cruzado Canicense 1
Pedras Rubras 4
Almancilense 1
Amora 0
Cerveira 0
Merelinense 3
FC Barreirense 2
Operario 1
Sousense 0
Valadares Gaia FC 2
GS Loures 2
Vilafranquense 1
FC Flamengos 0
Oriental 4
Aljustrelense 4
Praia Milfontes 1
Redondense 1
Armacenenses 6
Alcains 2
Oleiros 0
Aguia Vimioso 1
AD Limianos 5
Sertanense 1
Marinhense 0
AD Satao 1
Lusitano FCV 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tondela -
Real SC 3
CD Rabo Peixe 0
Raimonda 0
Sao Martinho 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arouca -
Fatima 2
Carapinheirense 0
TBD -
FC Pampilhosa -
Sacavenense 4
Atletico CP 0
TBD -
Olhanense -
Maritimo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AD Fafe -
TBD -
TBD -
Naval -
1º Dezembro 3
SC Lusitania 2
TBD -
Sp. Lourel -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
1/64-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes -
TBD -
Beneditense 0
Santa Iria 3
Leiria 3
Portimonense 2
TBD -
Boavista -
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
Moura AC 0
Aves 4
Vitoria Sernache 2
Camacha 1
Vilaverdense FC 0
Vilafranquense 1
Braga -
TBD -
Barrosas 2
AD Oliveirense 3
Rio Ave -
TBD -
Lusitano GC 0
Santa Clara 3
Varzim 1
Anadia 0
Sousense 1
Agueda 2
Freamunde 5
Cerva 0
GD Joane 0
Covilha 1
Sporting CP -
TBD -
Mosteirense 0
Famalicao 2
SC Farense 2
SC Angrense 0
Coimbroes 2
SC Praiense 5
SB Castelo Branco 3
Santa Eulalia 1
Torre De Moncorvo 0
Cinfaes 3
Trofense 6
Beira Mar 1
TBD -
Vitoria Setubal -
Torreense 3
Maria de Fonte 0
Gafetense 1
Academico Viseu 3
Estarreja 3
Ponte da Barca 1
TBD -
Nacional -
FC Porto -
TBD -
Atletico Arcos 0
Gafanha 2
U. Madeira 1
Moimenta da Beira 0
TBD -
Chaves -
Estoril -
TBD -
Sao Roque 0
Caldas SC 3
Mortagua FC 3
CF Os Gavionenses 2
Viana Alentejo 1
Cova De Piedade 2
Gil Vicente 2
CD Rabo Peixe 0
Pinhalnovense 1
Casa Pia 2
Lusitano VRSA 2
Fabril do Barreiro 0
Pedras Salgadas 1
Sanjoanense 6
Penafiel 2
Oliveirense 1
Penalva do Castelo 0
Amarante FC 4
Moreirense -
TBD -
Alcobaca 0
Vizela 2
Feirense -
TBD -
Sendim 2
Alcanenense 4
BSAD -
TBD -
CD Gouveia 1
Academica 2
Leixoes 1
Pedras Rubras 0
Almancilense 0
Merelinense 2
FC Barreirense 3
Valadares Gaia FC 0
GS Loures 1
Oriental 2
Aljustrelense 3
Armacenenses 2
Alcains 0
AD Limianos 4
Sertanense 2
Lusitano FCV 1
TBD -
Tondela -
Real SC 3
Sao Martinho 2
TBD -
Arouca -
Fatima 1
FC Pampilhosa 0
Sacavenense 0
Olhanense 1
Maritimo -
TBD -
AD Fafe 2
Naval 3
1º Dezembro 2
Sp. Lourel 0
TBD -
Benfica -
1/32-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Santa Iria 1
Leiria 0
Boavista 2
Pacos Ferreira 2
Aves 1
Vitoria Sernache 0
Vilafranquense 1
Braga 3
AD Oliveirense 1
Rio Ave 1
Santa Clara 2
Varzim 3
Agueda 0
Freamunde 0
Covilha 1
Sporting CP 1
Famalicao 0
SC Farense 1
SC Praiense 3
SB Castelo Branco 1
Cinfaes 0
Trofense 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
Torreense 2
Academico Viseu 0
Estarreja 1
Nacional 3
FC Porto 3
Gafanha 0
U. Madeira 0
Chaves 1
Estoril 1
Caldas SC 0
Mortagua FC 0
Cova De Piedade 1
Gil Vicente 1
Casa Pia 0
Lusitano VRSA 1
Sanjoanense 2
Penafiel 1
Amarante FC 0
Moreirense 0
Vizela 1
Feirense 2
Alcanenense 1
BSAD 0
Academica 2
Leixoes 3
Merelinense 2
FC Barreirense 0
Oriental 2
Aljustrelense 1
AD Limianos 0
Sertanense 0
Tondela 4
Real SC 1
Arouca 0
Fatima 1
Olhanense 2
Maritimo 4
Naval 0
1º Dezembro 1
Benfica 2
1/16-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Boavista 1
Pacos Ferreira 0
Vilafranquense 1
Braga 2
Santa Clara 1
Varzim 0
Covilha 1
Sporting CP 5
SC Praiense 1
SB Castelo Branco 0
Vitoria Setubal 2
Torreense 1
Nacional 0
FC Porto 0
Chaves 1
Estoril 2
Cova De Piedade 0
Gil Vicente 0
Sanjoanense 1
Penafiel 1
Vizela 0
Feirense 0
Academica 1
Leixoes 2
Oriental 1
Aljustrelense 1
Tondela 2
Real SC 2
Olhanense 0
Maritimo 0
Benfica 6
1/8-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Vilafranquense 0
Braga 1
Covilha 2
Sporting CP 1
Vitoria Setubal 0
Torreense 2
Chaves 3
Estoril 4
Sanjoanense 2
Penafiel 0
Academica 1
Leixoes 2
Tondela 1
Real SC 0
Benfica 3
Quarter-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Covilha 0
Sporting CP 0
Chaves 1
Estoril 2
Academica 1
Leixoes 2
Benfica 6
Semi-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 3
Chaves 3
Estoril 4
Benfica 5
Final
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Benfica 2
