Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Agueda vs Pevidem

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2022/2023 Estádio Municipal de Águeda, Águeda
Our Tip

Match Events

71'
Dani
71'
Dani
90' Event
Chimaraoke J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Pevidem advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Agueda
20%
Draws
64%
Pevidem
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pevidem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Agueda haven't matched Pevidem's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Pevidem arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Pevidem, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Agueda Clean Sheet 20%
Pevidem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agueda Pevidem
Matches Played 24 31
Wins 4 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.79 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2022 Taça de Portugal
Agueda vs Pevidem
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Agueda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Pevidem Compare

Top Goalscorer Chimaraoke J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agueda 36 / 100
Pevidem 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agueda Pevidem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pevidem Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pevidem conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Pevidem's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Agueda found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (24 games).

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pevidem
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Agueda

(Home)
01 Oct
Agueda
0 : 1
Pevidem
10 Apr
Sanjoanense
1 : 0
Agueda
03 Apr
Agueda
0 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
21 Mar
Agueda
0 : 2
Castro Daire
12 Mar
Agueda
0 : 0
Canelas 2010
Page 1 of 5

Pevidem

(Away)
30 Aug
Celoricense
1 : 0
Pevidem
13 Apr
Rebordosa
2 : 1
Pevidem
06 Apr
Pevidem
2 : 0
Os Sandinenses
30 Mar
Paredes
4 : 0
Pevidem
15 Mar
Pevidem
1 : 1
AD Limianos
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Pero Pinheiro 7
AD Portomosense 1
Ferreiras 2
Culatrense 0
SC Pombal 2
Tomar 1
TBD -
Vigor Mocidade -
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
TBD -
Vilar de Perdizes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Sao Martinho -
TBD -
TBD -
Guarda Desportiva -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Casa Pia -
Valadares Gaia FC 5
SC Salgueiros 2
TBD -
Olivais e Moscavide -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chaves -
SC Angrense -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
Uniao Da Serra 5
Pedrogao Sao Pedro 1
TBD -
Oliveirense -
Academica -
TBD -
TBD -
Tondela -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Maria de Fonte 0
Merelinense 4
TBD -
CD Rabo Peixe -
Alcains 0
Sertanense 1
TBD -
Castro Daire -
Lusitano FCV 0
Sanjoanense 3
Os Marialvas 3
Vila Cortez 1
CF Os Belenenses -
TBD -
TBD -
Torreense -
Leca 1
GD Resende 2
FC Felgueiras 5
Mondinense 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
Lajense 3
Sao Roque 2
TBD -
Moreirense -
Juv. Evora 3
Moncarapachense 0
TBD -
Vilafranquense -
Oriental Dragon 2
1º Dezembro 1
Canelas 2010 2
Regua 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Gondomar 1
Rebordosa 0
TBD -
Penafiel -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vizela -
Varzim 2
Vila Mea 1
TBD -
Feirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Marinhense 0
Leiria 1
Rebordelo 0
CDC Montalegre 5
Sao Joao de Ver 7
Mortagua FC 1
Esperanca de Lagos 2
Industria 0
Vila Caiz -
TBD -
TBD -
Amora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Estoril -
Caldas SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Covilha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
Paivense -
TBD -
Santa Eulalia 0
Tirsense 1
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira -
TBD -
TBD -
Leixoes -
Vasco da Gama P. Delgada -
TBD -
TBD -
Imortal -
SB Castelo Branco 8
Aguias do Moradal 0
TBD -
SC Farense -
GD Coruchense -
TBD -
TBD -
Trofense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Famalicao -
Moura AC -
TBD -
Dumiense 4
Brito 1
Sintrense 1
Fazendense 0
TBD -
Real SC -
Vilaverdense FC 3
Atletico Arcos 1
TBD -
Atletico CP -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portimonense -
Oliveira Hospital 1
Lusitania FC 0
TBD -
Estrela da Amadora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Atletico SC 2
Olhanense 5
TBD -
Monte do Trigo -
Freamunde 2
GD Joane 3
TBD -
BSAD -
Machico -
TBD -
Alverca 2
Rio Maior SC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boavista -
Fabril do Barreiro -
TBD -
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
Oriental 1
FC Madalena 0
FC Alpendorada 0
Paredes 1
Silves FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Courense -
ACDR Lamelas -
TBD -
Camacha 1
Amarante FC 0
Arronches Benfica 2
Mosteirense 0
Vinhais 0
SC Vianense 4
GS Loures -
TBD -
Meda 0
Beira Mar 6
GD Braganca 2
Desportivo Moncao 1
TBD -
Montijo -
Agueda -
TBD -
TBD -
Pevidem -
Santarem 1
CF Os Gavionenses 0
TBD -
Mafra -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
AD Fafe 5
CD Ribeira Brava 0
TBD -
Anadia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Porto -
1º de Maio Funchal -
TBD -
Serpa 3
Castrense 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Lusitano GC 0
GD Fontinhas 2
SC Lusitania 2
SC Praiense 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arouca -
1/64-finals
Pero Pinheiro 2
Ferreiras 1
SC Pombal 2
Vigor Mocidade 0
Vitoria Setubal 4
Vilar de Perdizes 0
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Sao Martinho 4
Guarda Desportiva 3
TBD -
Casa Pia -
Valadares Gaia FC 2
Olivais e Moscavide 0
TBD -
Chaves -
SC Angrense 0
Nacional 2
Uniao Da Serra 0
Oliveirense 4
Academica 1
Tondela 2
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Merelinense 3
CD Rabo Peixe 4
Sertanense 3
Castro Daire 0
Sanjoanense 3
Os Marialvas 1
CF Os Belenenses 3
Torreense 1
GD Resende 1
FC Felgueiras 2
TBD -
Braga -
Lajense 1
Moreirense 3
Juv. Evora 2
Vilafranquense 3
Oriental Dragon 0
Canelas 2010 2
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Gondomar 2
Penafiel 3
TBD -
Vizela -
Varzim 1
Feirense 0
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Leiria 0
CDC Montalegre 1
Sao Joao de Ver 3
Esperanca de Lagos 0
Vila Caiz 1
Amora 3
TBD -
Estoril -
Caldas SC 3
Covilha 0
TBD -
Benfica -
Paivense 1
Tirsense 2
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 0
Leixoes 5
Vasco da Gama P. Delgada 0
Imortal 1
SB Castelo Branco 0
SC Farense 1
GD Coruchense 0
Trofense 2
TBD -
Famalicao -
Moura AC 0
Dumiense 5
Sintrense 2
Real SC 3
Vilaverdense FC 2
Atletico CP 1
TBD -
Portimonense -
Oliveira Hospital 2
Estrela da Amadora 1
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Olhanense 1
Monte do Trigo 0
GD Joane 0
BSAD 3
Machico 2
Alverca 1
TBD -
Boavista -
Fabril do Barreiro 2
Academico Viseu 6
Oriental 2
Paredes 1
Silves FC 3
Courense 5
ACDR Lamelas 0
Camacha 1
Arronches Benfica 0
SC Vianense 2
GS Loures 0
Beira Mar 3
GD Braganca 1
Montijo 0
Agueda 0
Pevidem 1
Santarem 0
Mafra 1
TBD -
Maritimo -
AD Fafe 1
Anadia 2
TBD -
FC Porto -
1º de Maio Funchal 0
Serpa 8
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
GD Fontinhas 5
SC Praiense 0
TBD -
Arouca -
1/32-finals
Pero Pinheiro 4
SC Pombal 0
Vitoria Setubal 2
Pacos Ferreira 0
Sao Martinho 0
Casa Pia 2
Valadares Gaia FC 3
Chaves 2
Nacional 3
Oliveirense 1
Tondela 2
Santa Clara 0
CD Rabo Peixe 2
Sertanense 1
Sanjoanense 3
CF Os Belenenses 2
FC Felgueiras 1
Braga 2
Moreirense 3
Vilafranquense 0
Canelas 2010 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 3
Penafiel 3
Vizela 4
Varzim 1
Sporting CP 0
CDC Montalegre 1
Sao Joao de Ver 3
Amora 2
Estoril 3
Caldas SC 1
Benfica 2
Tirsense 1
Leixoes 4
Imortal 0
SC Farense 3
Trofense 0
Famalicao 1
Dumiense 2
Real SC 1
Vilaverdense FC 2
Portimonense 0
Oliveira Hospital 3
Rio Ave 2
Olhanense 0
BSAD 2
Machico 1
Boavista 0
Academico Viseu 1
Oriental 0
Courense 0
Camacha 6
SC Vianense 1
Beira Mar 2
GD Braganca 0
Pevidem 1
Mafra 4
Maritimo 2
Anadia 0
FC Porto 6
Serpa 0
Gil Vicente 3
GD Fontinhas 0
Arouca 2
1/16-finals
Pero Pinheiro 1
Vitoria Setubal 4
Casa Pia 2
Valadares Gaia FC 0
Nacional 1
Tondela 0
CD Rabo Peixe 2
Sanjoanense 0
Braga 2
Moreirense 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Vizela 1
Varzim 1
Sao Joao de Ver 0
Estoril 0
Benfica 1
Leixoes 3
SC Farense 1
Famalicao 4
Dumiense 1
Vilaverdense FC 7
Oliveira Hospital 0
BSAD 4
Machico 0
Academico Viseu 3
Camacha 0
Beira Mar 3
Pevidem 2
Mafra 0
FC Porto 3
Gil Vicente 1
Arouca 4
1/8-finals
Vitoria Setubal 0
Casa Pia 1
Nacional 1
CD Rabo Peixe 0
Braga 3
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Varzim 0
Benfica 2
Leixoes 1
Famalicao 2
Vilaverdense FC 1
BSAD 4
Academico Viseu 2
Beira Mar 0
FC Porto 4
Arouca 0
Quarter-finals
Casa Pia 2
Nacional 5
Braga 2
Benfica 1
Famalicao 4
BSAD 1
Academico Viseu 0
FC Porto 1
Semi-finals
Nacional 2
Braga 7
Famalicao 3
FC Porto 5
Final
Braga 0
FC Porto 2