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Stadium Background

Agueda vs Sanjoanense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 Estádio Municipal de Águeda, Águeda
Agueda Logo

Agueda

1 - 1
FT
Sanjoanense Logo

Sanjoanense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Agueda
20%
Draws
73%
Sanjoanense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sanjoanense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Sanjoanense have won more games recently than Agueda.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Sanjoanense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Agueda Clean Sheet 21%
Sanjoanense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agueda Sanjoanense
Matches Played 24 41
Wins 4 12
Draws 5 12
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 0.79 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Sanjoanense vs Agueda
1:0
Jan 8, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Agueda vs Sanjoanense
1:1
May 5, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Agueda vs Sanjoanense
2:1
Jan 6, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Sanjoanense vs Agueda
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agueda 10 / 100
Sanjoanense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agueda Sanjoanense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanjoanense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanjoanense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 41 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Agueda's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Agueda has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sanjoanense
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Agueda

(Home)
01 Oct
Agueda
0 : 1
Pevidem
10 Apr
Sanjoanense
1 : 0
Agueda
03 Apr
Agueda
0 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
21 Mar
Agueda
0 : 2
Castro Daire
12 Mar
Agueda
0 : 0
Canelas 2010
Page 1 of 5

Sanjoanense

(Away)
20 Sept
Anca
1 : 4
Sanjoanense
13 Sept
Florgrade
2 : 0
Sanjoanense
06 Sept
Sanjoanense
3 : 1
FC Alpendorada
30 Aug
Sanjoanense
3 : 0
Pacos de Brandao
23 Aug
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Sanjoanense
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Anadia 22 13 5 4 39:15 44
2 Canelas 2010 22 12 5 5 28:13 41
3 Lusitania FC 22 11 6 5 38:26 39
4 Sao Joao de Ver 22 10 8 4 30:14 38
5 Sanjoanense 22 8 12 2 26:13 36
6 Castro Daire 22 10 5 7 23:24 35
7 Valadares Gaia FC 22 10 3 9 36:27 33
8 SC Espinho 22 9 4 9 33:22 31
9 Beira Mar 22 9 4 9 30:23 31
10 Agueda 22 4 5 13 17:28 17
11 Lusitano FCV 22 4 4 14 17:34 16
12 Vila Cortez 22 1 1 20 8:86 4
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)