Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aguia De Maraba U20 vs Carajas U20

Brazil Brazil

Paraense U20 Estadio Municipal Zinho de Oliveira
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aguia De Maraba U20 play Carajas U20 in the Paraense U20. Aguia De Maraba U20 are favorites here. Recently, Aguia De Maraba U20 averaged 2.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Carajas U20 averaged 1.05 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. In past meetings, Aguia De Maraba U20 won 1, Carajas U20 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 27, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Aguia De Maraba U20 and 1.06 for Carajas U20. This points to a Aguia De Maraba U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%
Aguia De Maraba U20
15%
Draws
19%
Carajas U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aguia De Maraba U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Aguia De Maraba U20 picked up more points recently compared to Carajas U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Aguia De Maraba U20 Clean Sheet 22%
Carajas U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguia De Maraba U20 Carajas U20
Matches Played 21 21
Wins 13 4
Draws 3 3
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 2.1 1.05
Goals Conceded 0.9 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Paraense U20
Aguia De Maraba U20 vs Carajas U20
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Paraense U20
Aguia De Maraba U20 vs Carajas U20
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguia De Maraba U20 64 / 100
Carajas U20 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguia De Maraba U20 Carajas U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aguia De Maraba U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Aguia De Maraba U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.5%
1.72
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aguia De Maraba U20 attacking → ← attacking Carajas U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguia De Maraba U20 scored in 90% of their last 21 games.

Carajas U20 let in goals in 81% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Aguia De Maraba U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Carajas U20 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 15
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tuna Luso U20550019:315
2Tiradentes PA U20540114:212
3Boca Juniors U20521210:147
4Tapajos U20520312:76
5Pedreira U2051136:154
6Real Naval U2050056:260
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sport Belem U20541018:513
2Belenense U20532027:511
3Desportiva Paraense U20531112:310
4Trabalhista U2051044:173
5Cruzeirao U2051045:193
6Craques do Futuro U2051044:213
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Paysandu PA U20550016:015
2CRT-23 Benevides U2053027:89
3CA Vila Rica U2053029:119
4Santa Rosa U2052127:97
5Pinheirense U2051047:83
6Atletico Barbarense U2050143:131
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Remo U20440021:212
2Uniao Paraense U20430112:59
3Curumins EC U2042029:116
4Estrela PA U2041036:123
5Atletico JM9 U2040046:240
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Caete U20624012:510
2Meninos de Ouro U2062229:138
3Maracana Taua U2061418:87
4Terra Alta U2060423:64
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Aguia De Maraba U20541013:313
2Carajas U20541010:113
3EC Tailandia U2052036:56
4Vila Rica SC U2052036:116
5Tucuma U2051045:113
6Mec Maraba U2051042:113