Sport Picks
Aguia De Maraba vs Caete Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Paraense 2025 Estadio Municipal Zinho de Oliveira, Marabá 
Match Events
67'
67'
Matheus Baraka
AI Match Summary
Aguia De Maraba in this Paraense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aguia De Maraba.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aguia De Maraba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Aguia De Maraba have won more games recently than Caete.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Aguia De Maraba taking it.
- Regular Paraense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Aguia De Maraba have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Aguia De Maraba Clean Sheet 68%
Caete Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aguia De Maraba | Caete |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 30 |
| Wins | 20 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2025 Paraense
Aguia De Maraba vs Caete
1:0
Mar 17, 2024 Paraense
Caete vs Aguia De Maraba
0:2
Mar 9, 2024 Paraense
Aguia De Maraba vs Caete
2:0
Feb 16, 2024 Paraense
Aguia De Maraba vs Caete
1:0
Mar 11, 2023 Paraense
Aguia De Maraba vs Caete
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aguia De Maraba Compare
Top Goalscorer Matheus Baraka
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Caete Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aguia De Maraba 50 / 100
Caete 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aguia De Maraba Caete
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aguia De Maraba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aguia De Maraba's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 35 recent games.
Defensive concern: Caete conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Caete's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Aguia De Maraba VS Caete
2 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
Aguia De Maraba
(Home) 12 Jul
ABC
3 : 0 Aguia De Maraba
04 Jul
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 1 ABC
27 Jun
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 0 Parnahyba
21 Jun
Parnahyba
2 : 1 Aguia De Maraba
06 Jun
Trem
2 : 0 Aguia De Maraba
Page 1 of 7
04 Jul
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 1 ABC
27 Jun
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 0 Parnahyba
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1 Tocantinopolis
10 May
Aguia De Maraba
5 : 1 Oratorio
06 May
Aguia De Maraba
1 : 5 Paysandu PA
Page 1 of 4
Caete
(Away) 03 Jun
Caete
0 : 2 Paragominas
30 May
Paragominas
2 : 0 Caete
19 May
Santos PA
3 : 1 Caete
16 May
Caete
0 : 0 Canaa
02 May
Caete
3 : 0 Santos PA
Page 1 of 6
30 May
Paragominas
2 : 0 Caete
19 May
Santos PA
3 : 1 Caete
25 Apr
Canaa
2 : 2 Caete
02 Mar
Tuna Luso
2 : 1 Caete
15 Feb
Aguia De Maraba
1 : 0 Caete
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 17 |
| 2 | Paysandu PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Bragantino PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Castanhal | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 5 | Tuna Luso | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 6 | Aguia De Maraba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Capitao Poco | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Santa Rosa | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | 10 |
| 9 | Cameta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 10 | Sao Francisco | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 11 | Independente | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:12 | 6 |
| 12 | Caete | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paysandu PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 2 | Cameta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 3 | Sao Francisco | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 4 | Caete | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 17 |
| 2 | Bragantino PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 17 |
| 3 | Castanhal | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Independente | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tuna Luso | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 2 | Aguia De Maraba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 3 | Capitao Poco | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 4 | Santa Rosa | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | 10 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
