Sport Picks
Aguia Negra vs Corumbaense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Sul-Matogrossense 2025 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Aguia Negra in this Sul-Matogrossense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aguia Negra.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Aguia Negra haven't matched Corumbaense's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Corumbaense's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Aguia Negra have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aguia Negra | Corumbaense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aguia Negra Compare
Corumbaense Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Aguia Negra scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Corumbaense conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
Solid form: Aguia Negra remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Aguia Negra
(Home)Corumbaense
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ivinhema | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21:7 | 19 |
| 2 | Pantanal | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:7 | 18 |
| 3 | Dourados | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:7 | 18 |
| 4 | Operario MS | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 16 |
| 5 | Costa Rica | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14:10 | 14 |
| 6 | Aguia Negra | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 11 |
| 7 | Naviraiense | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 8 | Corumbaense | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:14 | 8 |
| 9 | Coxim | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | 7 |
| 10 | Aquidauanense | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12:29 | 4 |
