Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2012/2013

Aguiar da Beira

Sun, Oct 21, 2012

1 - 0

02:00 PM

Uniao Lamas

Our Tip

Match Events

104'

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aguiar da Beira in this Taça de Portugal 2012/2013 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Aguiar da Beira

40%

Draws

29%

Uniao Lamas

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Aguiar da Beira haven't matched Uniao Lamas's recent run of results.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
Uniao Lamas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Aguiar da Beira, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

Aguiar da Beira Clean Sheet 19%

Uniao Lamas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aguiar da Beira	Uniao Lamas
Matches Played	7	30
Wins	2	10
Draws	0	6
Losses	5	14
Goals Scored	0	1.38
Goals Conceded	0	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2012 Taça de Portugal

Aguiar da Beira vs Uniao Lamas

1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguiar da Beira 32 / 100

Uniao Lamas 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aguiar da Beira Uniao Lamas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguiar da Beira scored in 71% of their last 7 games.

Defensive concern: Uniao Lamas conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Solid form: Aguiar da Beira remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Uniao Lamas

0 Goals Scored 1.38

0 Goals Conceded 1.25

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 75%

0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguiar da Beira

(Home)

27 Sept

Aguiar da Beira

1 : 4

Vila Cortez

04 Sept

Torre De Moncorvo

2 : 1

Aguiar da Beira

17 Nov

Aguiar da Beira

0 : 3

Maritimo

21 Oct

Aguiar da Beira

1 : 0

Uniao Lamas

16 Sept

Vila Mea

2 : 3

Aguiar da Beira

Page 1 of 2

Uniao Lamas

(Away)

22 Jul

Uniao Lamas

0 : 0

Os Marialvas

18 Jul

Uniao Lamas

0 : 1

Sao Joao de Ver

18 Apr

Uniao Lamas

0 : 0

SC Salgueiros

12 Apr

Beira Mar

4 : 0

Uniao Lamas

04 Apr

Uniao Lamas

0 : 0

Anadia

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Vitoria Guimaraes-

TBD-

FC Felgueiras1

Vilaverdense FC2

Tondela5

Lagoa0

TBD-

Vitoria Setubal-

Aguiar da Beira3

Vila Mea2

SC Barreiro2

Uniao Lamas3

AD Oliveirense1

Alcanenense0

TBD-

Maritimo-

FC Porto-

TBD-

Amarante FC0

Santa Eulalia3

SC Espinho3

AA Avanca0

TBD-

Nacional-

FC Pampilhosa1

GD Sourense0

Cinfaes0

Covilha4

Leixoes4

Leca1

TBD-

Braga-

Arouca1

Trofense0

Atletico CP0

Naval2

Portimonense2

Academico Viseu0

TBD-

Rio Ave-

SC Farense3

CDR Quarteirense2

Grijo0

Atletico SC1

Penafiel1

Casa Pia0

TBD-

Beira Mar-

Fabril do Barreiro2

Paredes1

Desportivo Moncao0

Electrico FC1

Ribeirao6

Uniao Montemor0

Oeiras1

Oliveira Hospital4

Pedras Rubras4

Maritimo Graciosa0

SB Castelo Branco1

U. Madeira3

Anadia3

Vitoria FC Pico0

Vizela0

BSAD4

Pacos Ferreira-

TBD-

Estoril-

1º Dezembro1

Pero Pinheiro0

TBD-

Olhanense-

Feirense2

Padroense0

C.F. Benfica1

AD Fafe2

Pinhalnovense2

Santa Maria FC1

Louletano1

SC Lourinhanense2

Oliveirense2

Sintrense1

Sertanense1

Aliados Lordelo2

Sacavenense1

Sampedrense0

CD Ribeira Brava0

Leiria1

SC Mirandela1

SL Cartaxo0

Bustelo0

Varzim3

Gondomar1

SC Praiense0

TBD-

Gil Vicente-

Academica-

TBD-

Melgacense1

Ponte da Barca2

Fatima4

SC Pombal1

GD Peniche0

Penalva do Castelo1

Santa Clara3

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira0

Tocha1

Nogueirense2

AD Limianos4

Amora0

Oriental0

GD Tourizense1

Aves2

Estarreja0

Chaves0

Tirsense2

Caldas SC3

Operario0

Sousense0

Coimbroes2

Moreirense-

TBD-

Sporting CP-

Freamunde1

SC Salgueiros0

TBD-

Benfica-

1/32-finals

Vitoria Guimaraes6

Vilaverdense FC1

Tondela0

Vitoria Setubal1

Aguiar da Beira1

Uniao Lamas0

AD Oliveirense1

Maritimo2

FC Porto1

Santa Eulalia0

SC Espinho0

Nacional4

FC Pampilhosa6

Covilha5

Leixoes0

Braga3

Arouca3

Naval1

Portimonense1

Rio Ave2

SC Farense1

Atletico SC0

Penafiel0

Beira Mar1

Fabril do Barreiro3

Electrico FC1

Ribeirao1

Oliveira Hospital2

Pedras Rubras3

U. Madeira2

Anadia2

BSAD5

Pacos Ferreira2

Estoril1

1º Dezembro0

Olhanense3

Feirense3

AD Fafe0

Pinhalnovense0

SC Lourinhanense3

Oliveirense2

Aliados Lordelo0

Sacavenense2

Leiria3

SC Mirandela2

Varzim1

Gondomar0

Gil Vicente2

Academica3

Ponte da Barca1

Fatima0

Penalva do Castelo1

Santa Clara3

Nogueirense1

AD Limianos0

GD Tourizense1

Aves3

Tirsense1

Caldas SC0

Coimbroes1

Moreirense3

Sporting CP2

Freamunde0

Benfica4

1/16-finals

Vitoria Guimaraes3

Vitoria Setubal2

Aguiar da Beira0

Maritimo3

FC Porto3

Nacional0

FC Pampilhosa1

Braga3

Arouca2

Rio Ave1

SC Farense1

Beira Mar2

Fabril do Barreiro2

Oliveira Hospital0

Pedras Rubras0

BSAD3

Pacos Ferreira2

Olhanense1

Feirense2

SC Lourinhanense3

Oliveirense1

Leiria0

SC Mirandela1

Gil Vicente2

Academica1

Penalva do Castelo0

Santa Clara0

GD Tourizense1

Aves2

Coimbroes1

Moreirense0

Benfica2

1/8-finals

Vitoria Guimaraes2

Maritimo1

FC Porto1

Braga2

Arouca2

Beira Mar1

Fabril do Barreiro0

BSAD4

Pacos Ferreira6

SC Lourinhanense0

Oliveirense0

Gil Vicente1

Academica3

GD Tourizense0

Aves0

Benfica6

Quarter-finals

Vitoria Guimaraes2

Braga1

Arouca1

BSAD4

Pacos Ferreira2

Gil Vicente1

Academica0

Benfica4

Semi-finals

Vitoria Guimaraes3

BSAD0

Pacos Ferreira1

Benfica3

Final

Vitoria Guimaraes2

Benfica1