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Aguila vs Dragon

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Rivas D.
48' Event
Rivas D.
55' Event
Ortiz S.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2024/2025 game between Aguila and Dragon finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aguila.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Aguila
15%
Draws
21%
Dragon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aguila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Aguila carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Aguila's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Aguila here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Aguila Clean Sheet 20%
Dragon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguila Dragon
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 8 3
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 1.68 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Copa Presidente
Dragon vs Aguila
1:4
Mar 26, 2025 Primera Division
Aguila vs Dragon
4:1
Jan 29, 2025 Primera Division
Dragon vs Aguila
0:2
Oct 16, 2024 Primera Division
Aguila vs Dragon
3:0
Jul 28, 2024 Primera Division
Dragon vs Aguila
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguila Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivas D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ortiz S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Dragon Compare

Top Goalscorer Aparicio R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguila 85 / 100
Dragon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguila Dragon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aguila Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dragon has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Aguila scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Aguila has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aguila VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguila

(Home)
03 Oct
Aguila
4 : 1
Cacahuatique
30 Sept
Aguila
2 : 1
Inter Santa Tecla
27 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 0
Aguila
20 Sept
Platense Municipal
0 : 1
Aguila
12 Sept
Aguila
3 : 1
Inca Aruba
Page 1 of 7

Dragon

(Away)
22 Apr
FAS
4 : 1
Dragon
07 Apr
Dragon
1 : 5
FAS
11 Mar
Dragon
3 : 3
Fuerte San Francisco
26 Feb
Racing de Gualuca
0 : 1
Dragon
11 Feb
Dragon
1 : 4
Aguila
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguila 20 13 4 3 37:17 43
2 Luis Angel Firpo 20 11 6 3 34:16 39
3 Alianza FC 20 12 3 5 28:11 39
4 Metapan 20 9 8 3 22:13 35
5 Municipal Limeno 20 6 9 5 21:20 27
6 Cacahuatique 20 6 9 5 18:24 27
7 Fuerte San Francisco 20 6 6 8 15:20 24
8 FAS 20 5 7 8 17:23 22
9 Platense Municipal 20 5 5 10 18:25 20
10 Dragon 20 4 2 14 17:30 14
11 11 Deportivo 20 1 5 14 12:40 8
Promotion - Primera Division 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)