Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aguila vs Inter Santa Tecla

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Portillo I.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between Aguila and Inter Santa Tecla finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inter Santa Tecla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Aguila
39%
Draws
31%
Inter Santa Tecla
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Aguila carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Aguila Clean Sheet 20%
Inter Santa Tecla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguila Inter Santa Tecla
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 17 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Inter Santa Tecla
0:1
Feb 22, 2026 Primera Division
Inter Santa Tecla vs Aguila
0:1
Nov 5, 2025 Primera Division
Aguila vs Inter Santa Tecla
3:0
Sep 4, 2025 Primera Division
Inter Santa Tecla vs Aguila
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguila Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Inter Santa Tecla Compare

Top Goalscorer Portillo I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguila 31 / 100
Inter Santa Tecla 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguila Inter Santa Tecla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguila's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Inter Santa Tecla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Aguila has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aguila VS Inter Santa Tecla
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguila

(Home)
26 Jul
Aguila
1 : 1
Luis Angel Firpo
24 May
Aguila
0 : 3
FAS
17 May
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 2
Aguila
13 May
Aguila
1 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
10 May
Alianza FC
0 : 2
Aguila
Page 1 of 6

Inter Santa Tecla

(Away)
25 Jul
Atletico Balboa
0 : 0
Inter Santa Tecla
11 May
Inter Santa Tecla
2 : 1
Municipal Limeno
08 May
Municipal Limeno
2 : 0
Inter Santa Tecla
01 May
Zacatecoluca FC
2 : 0
Inter Santa Tecla
26 Apr
Inter Santa Tecla
2 : 1
Municipal Limeno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FAS22165149:1653
2Luis Angel Firpo22135434:2044
3Alianza FC22114736:3037
4Inter Santa Tecla22106627:2536
5Municipal Limeno22105733:2135
6Aguila22105727:2435
7Metapan2269723:3027
8Cacahuatique2268824:2826
9Platense Municipal22481024:3120
10Hercules22471127:4319
11Fuerte San Francisco22281218:3514
12Zacatecoluca FC22341523:4213
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)