Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aguila vs Inter Santa Tecla

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Portillo I.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between Aguila and Inter Santa Tecla finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inter Santa Tecla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Aguila
30%
Draws
39%
Inter Santa Tecla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Inter Santa Tecla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Aguila's 1.56 goals per match outpaces what Inter Santa Tecla have produced (1.41).
  • Aguila are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Aguila Clean Sheet 14%
Inter Santa Tecla Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguila Inter Santa Tecla
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 10 9
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.56 1.41
Goals Conceded 1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Primera Division
Inter Santa Tecla vs Aguila
0:0
Apr 19, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Inter Santa Tecla
0:1
Feb 22, 2026 Primera Division
Inter Santa Tecla vs Aguila
0:1
Nov 5, 2025 Primera Division
Aguila vs Inter Santa Tecla
3:0
Sep 4, 2025 Primera Division
Inter Santa Tecla vs Aguila
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguila Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Inter Santa Tecla Compare

Top Goalscorer Portillo I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguila 39 / 100
Inter Santa Tecla 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguila Inter Santa Tecla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aguila Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguila's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Aguila stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Inter Santa Tecla conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Aguila VS Inter Santa Tecla
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguila

(Home)
12 Sept
Aguila
3 : 1
Inca Aruba
10 Sept
Municipal Limeno
0 : 0
Aguila
06 Sept
Aguila
2 : 2
Alianza FC
30 Aug
Aguila
4 : 1
Fuerte San Francisco
23 Aug
FAS
1 : 0
Aguila
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Inter Santa Tecla

(Away)
17 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
2 : 2
FAS
13 Sept
Cacahuatique
0 : 2
Inter Santa Tecla
06 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
3 : 0
Inter Santa Tecla
29 Aug
Platense Municipal
0 : 3
Inter Santa Tecla
22 Aug
Inter Santa Tecla
4 : 1
Inca Aruba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FAS 22 16 5 1 49:16 53
2 Luis Angel Firpo 22 13 5 4 34:20 44
3 Alianza FC 22 11 4 7 36:30 37
4 Inter Santa Tecla 22 10 6 6 27:25 36
5 Municipal Limeno 22 10 5 7 33:21 35
6 Aguila 22 10 5 7 27:24 35
7 Metapan 22 6 9 7 23:30 27
8 Cacahuatique 22 6 8 8 24:28 26
9 Platense Municipal 22 4 8 10 24:31 20
10 Hercules 22 4 7 11 27:43 19
11 Fuerte San Francisco 22 2 8 12 18:35 14
12 Zacatecoluca FC 22 3 4 15 23:42 13
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)