Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aguila vs Jocoro

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Ortiz S.
70' Event
Caicedo R.
76' Event
Ortiz S.

AI Match Summary

Aguila in this Primera Division 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aguila.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Aguila
35%
Draws
37%
Jocoro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jocoro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aguila lately — more wins on the board than Jocoro.
  • Aguila are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Primera Division 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Aguila have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Aguila Clean Sheet 68%
Jocoro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguila Jocoro
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.31 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Primera Division
Jocoro vs Aguila
0:0
Feb 18, 2024 Primera Division
Aguila vs Jocoro
3:0
Dec 24, 2023 Primera Division
Aguila vs Jocoro
3:0
Nov 12, 2023 Primera Division
Aguila vs Jocoro
2:0
Sep 17, 2023 Primera Division
Jocoro vs Aguila
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguila Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Caicedo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Jocoro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguila 59 / 100
Jocoro 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguila Jocoro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aguila Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jocoro has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Aguila scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Aguila has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aguila VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguila

(Home)
15 Aug
Aguila
2 : 4
Atletico Balboa
08 Aug
Metapan
2 : 1
Aguila
02 Aug
Cacahuatique
2 : 2
Aguila
31 Jul
Inter Santa Tecla
0 : 0
Aguila
26 Jul
Aguila
1 : 1
Luis Angel Firpo
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Jocoro

(Away)
04 May
Santa Tecla
3 : 4
Jocoro
01 May
Jocoro
1 : 4
Luis Angel Firpo
28 Apr
Jocoro
0 : 1
Municipal Limeno
25 Apr
Metapan
2 : 0
Jocoro
21 Apr
Jocoro
0 : 0
Aguila
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 22 13 6 3 39:13 45
2 Luis Angel Firpo 22 13 3 6 47:30 42
3 Municipal Limeno 22 12 3 7 33:25 39
4 Aguila 22 10 8 4 29:18 38
5 FAS 22 8 8 6 26:24 32
6 Platense Municipal 22 9 5 8 26:29 32
7 Metapan 22 9 4 9 24:22 31
8 11 Deportivo 22 8 7 7 22:24 31
9 Dragon 22 9 3 10 27:33 30
10 Santa Tecla 22 5 5 12 26:39 20
11 Fuerte San Francisco 22 4 5 13 19:30 17
12 Jocoro 22 2 3 17 13:44 9
Promotion - Primera Division 2023/2024 (Clausura - Play Offs)