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Aguila vs Municipal Limeno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division
Thu, Nov 12, 2026
VS
09:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aguila host Municipal Limeno in the Primera Division. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Aguila at 1.73 goals for, 1.03 against; Municipal Limeno at 1.54 for, 1.39 against. Past meetings favor Aguila slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 14, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 0.88) point toward Aguila. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Aguila
20%
Draws
19%
Municipal Limeno
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aguila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Aguila have won more games recently than Municipal Limeno.
  • Aguila are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Aguila Clean Sheet 20%
Municipal Limeno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguila Municipal Limeno
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 12
Draws 9 4
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.73 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2026 Copa Presidente
Municipal Limeno vs Aguila
0:0
Oct 7, 2026 Copa Presidente
Municipal Limeno vs Aguila
0:0
Sep 10, 2026 Primera Division
Municipal Limeno vs Aguila
0:0
Apr 5, 2026 Primera Division
Municipal Limeno vs Aguila
2:0
Feb 8, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Municipal Limeno
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguila 67 / 100
Municipal Limeno 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguila Municipal Limeno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aguila Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Aguila stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Aguila scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Municipal Limeno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Municipal Limeno lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aguila VS Municipal Limeno
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguila

(Home)
24 Oct
Aguila
3 : 1
FAS
18 Oct
Atletico Balboa
2 : 2
Aguila
11 Oct
Aguila
3 : 0
Metapan
03 Oct
Aguila
4 : 1
Cacahuatique
30 Sept
Aguila
2 : 1
Inter Santa Tecla
Page 1 of 6

Municipal Limeno

(Away)
25 Oct
Municipal Limeno
3 : 3
Cacahuatique
17 Oct
Inter Santa Tecla
1 : 2
Municipal Limeno
11 Oct
Municipal Limeno
2 : 3
Luis Angel Firpo
04 Oct
Platense Municipal
2 : 1
Municipal Limeno
02 Oct
Inca Aruba
2 : 1
Municipal Limeno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luis Angel Firpo 16 9 5 2 29:12 32
2 FAS 17 9 4 4 28:18 31
3 Metapan 17 9 3 5 23:18 30
4 Aguila 17 7 6 4 30:21 27
5 Inter Santa Tecla 17 6 8 3 24:16 26
6 Platense Municipal 17 7 5 5 25:20 26
7 Alianza FC 16 5 8 3 23:21 23
8 Municipal Limeno 17 6 3 8 26:26 21
9 Inca Aruba 17 4 4 9 13:31 16
10 Atletico Balboa 17 3 5 9 16:28 14
11 Cacahuatique 17 2 7 8 18:29 13
12 Fuerte San Francisco 17 2 6 9 14:29 12
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)