Sport Picks
Aguilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Cincuentenario, Medellín 
AI Match Summary
Aguilas Doradas host Deportes Tolima in the Primera A. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Aguilas Doradas have averaged 1.21 scored and 1.31 conceded recently, against Deportes Tolima's 1.25 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Deportes Tolima slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 1, 2026, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.31, favoring Deportes Tolima. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Aguilas Doradas haven't matched Deportes Tolima's recent run of results.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Aguilas Doradas taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Deportes Tolima have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aguilas Doradas | Deportes Tolima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aguilas Doradas found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Deportes Tolima conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Aguilas Doradas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Aguilas Doradas
(Home)Deportes Tolima
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America De Cali | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20:9 | 24 |
| 3 | Atl. Nacional | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 23 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 20:10 | 23 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 7 | Ind. Medellin | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Aguilas Doradas | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16:17 | 15 |
| 11 | Cucuta | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Inter Bogotá | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14:18 | 13 |
| 14 | Chico | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Alianza | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:26 | 12 |
| 16 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 17 | Junior | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:20 | 9 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:18 | 9 |
| 19 | Dep. Pereira | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7:17 | 8 |
| 20 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11:20 | 7 |
