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Aguilas Doradas vs Jaguares de Cordoba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Cincuentenario, Medellín
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Marquez R.
46'
Sub
Franco J. In: Lovera J.
Out: Franco J.
46'
Sub
Rodriguez Urango D. In: Cubides S.
Out: Rodriguez Urango D.

AI Match Summary

Aguilas Doradas in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aguilas Doradas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Aguilas Doradas
30%
Draws
23%
Jaguares de Cordoba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aguilas Doradas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aguilas Doradas lately — more wins on the board than Jaguares de Cordoba.
  • Aguilas Doradas are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Aguilas Doradas Clean Sheet 16%
Jaguares de Cordoba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguilas Doradas Jaguares de Cordoba
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 4
Draws 11 7
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.18 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Jaguares de Cordoba
2:0
May 10, 2026 Copa Colombia
Aguilas Doradas vs Jaguares de Cordoba
0:0
Mar 23, 2026 Primera A
Jaguares de Cordoba vs Aguilas Doradas
1:1
Aug 14, 2024 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Jaguares de Cordoba
1:0
Feb 9, 2024 Primera A
Jaguares de Cordoba vs Aguilas Doradas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguilas Doradas Compare

Top Goalscorer Arizalas E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Jaguares de Cordoba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguilas Doradas 48 / 100
Jaguares de Cordoba 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguilas Doradas Jaguares de Cordoba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aguilas Doradas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaguares de Cordoba has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Aguilas Doradas's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Away concern: Jaguares de Cordoba has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Aguilas Doradas VS Jaguares de Cordoba
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguilas Doradas

(Home)
03 Oct
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 0
Jaguares de Cordoba
28 Sept
Dep. Cali
2 : 0
Aguilas Doradas
24 Sept
America De Cali
1 : 0
Aguilas Doradas
18 Sept
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2
Dep. Pereira
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional
2 : 0
Aguilas Doradas
Page 1 of 6

Jaguares de Cordoba

(Away)
03 Oct
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 0
Jaguares de Cordoba
27 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
1 : 2
Alianza
22 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 1
Jaguares de Cordoba
11 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
2 : 2
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
06 Sept
Junior
3 : 3
Jaguares de Cordoba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 12 8 3 1 24:7 27
2 Dep. Cali 13 7 4 2 20:9 25
3 Atl. Nacional 11 7 2 2 21:10 23
4 Bucaramanga 11 6 5 0 20:10 23
5 Santa Fe 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
6 Millonarios 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
7 Ind. Medellin 12 6 2 4 19:16 20
8 Deportes Tolima 13 5 5 3 15:13 20
9 Once Caldas 13 4 4 5 16:16 16
10 Aguilas Doradas 12 3 6 3 16:17 15
11 Cucuta 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
12 Llaneros 13 4 2 7 15:17 14
13 Inter Bogotá 14 2 8 4 16:20 14
14 Chico 11 3 3 5 10:18 12
15 Alianza 13 3 3 7 14:26 12
16 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 13 1 8 4 14:19 11
17 Junior 12 2 4 6 18:22 10
18 Dep. Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
19 Dep. Pereira 12 1 6 5 7:17 9
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 11 1 4 6 11:20 7
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)