Sport Picks
Aguilas Doradas vs Junior
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Alberto Grisales, Rionegro 
Match Events
2'
2'
Castrillon B.
Assist: Navia J.
9'
9'
Navia J.
33'
33'
Sub
Higgins A. In: Obregon J.
Out: Higgins A.
AI Match Summary
Junior in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Junior.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Junior
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Junior have won more games recently than Aguilas Doradas.
- 41% — that's where the model lands on Junior taking it.
- Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Aguilas Doradas Clean Sheet 14%
Junior Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aguilas Doradas | Junior |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 12 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Junior
0:3
Jul 19, 2025 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Junior
2:3
Feb 2, 2025 Primera A
Junior vs Aguilas Doradas
2:2
Sep 23, 2024 Primera A
Junior vs Aguilas Doradas
3:4
Mar 8, 2024 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Junior
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aguilas Doradas Compare
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Junior Compare
Top Goalscorer Castrillon B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bacca C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aguilas Doradas 27 / 100
Junior 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aguilas Doradas Junior
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Junior Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.
Aguilas Doradas found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Junior conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.
Aguilas Doradas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Aguilas Doradas VS Junior
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Aguilas Doradas
(Home) 24 Sept
America De Cali
1 : 0 Aguilas Doradas
18 Sept
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2 Dep. Pereira
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional
2 : 0 Aguilas Doradas
06 Sept
Inter Bogotá
2 : 2 Aguilas Doradas
30 Aug
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2 Chico
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2 Dep. Pereira
30 Aug
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2 Chico
22 Aug
Aguilas Doradas
1 : 1 Millonarios
19 Aug
Aguilas Doradas
1 : 1 Llaneros
26 Jul
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 1 Santa Fe
Page 1 of 3
Junior
(Away) 20 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 4 Junior
13 Sept
Alianza
1 : 0 Junior
06 Sept
Junior
3 : 3 Jaguares de Cordoba
29 Aug
Junior
1 : 1 Santa Fe
26 Aug
America De Cali
4 : 2 Junior
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 4 Junior
13 Sept
Alianza
1 : 0 Junior
26 Aug
America De Cali
4 : 2 Junior
29 Jul
Barranquilla
4 : 3 Junior
26 Jul
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1 Junior
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Dep. Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America De Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Inter Bogotá | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Ind. Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Aguilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Dep. Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | 10 |
Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs)
