Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aguilas Doradas vs Once Caldas

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Alberto Grisales
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Lara Vasquez N.
9'
Zapata Ramirez J. A.
12'
Roa J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Aguilas Doradas and Once Caldas finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Aguilas Doradas
28%
Draws
22%
Once Caldas
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Aguilas Doradas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aguilas Doradas come out ahead of Once Caldas on wins alone.
  • Aguilas Doradas are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Aguilas Doradas Clean Sheet 68%
Once Caldas Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguilas Doradas Once Caldas
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 9 14
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Once Caldas
2:2
Aug 9, 2025 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Aguilas Doradas
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Once Caldas
0:1
Jul 20, 2024 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Aguilas Doradas
1:0
Jan 26, 2024 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Once Caldas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguilas Doradas Compare

Top Goalscorer Varela J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Once Caldas Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guzman H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguilas Doradas 59 / 100
Once Caldas 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguilas Doradas Once Caldas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguilas Doradas scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Aguilas Doradas has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Once Caldas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Aguilas Doradas VS Once Caldas
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Nacional19131535:1540
2Junior19112631:2435
3Dep. Pasto19104529:2534
4America De Cali19103625:1533
5Once Caldas1989231:2233
6Deportes Tolima1987427:1731
7Santa Fe1978429:2229
8Inter Bogotá1977526:2628
9Dep. Cali1976620:1627
10Millonarios1975731:2326
11Ind. Medellin1975726:2426
12Aguilas Doradas1975720:2526
13Bucaramanga1958626:2023
14Llaneros19410517:2022
15Fortaleza C.E.I.F.1957722:2722
16Jaguares de Cordoba19531120:3318
17Alianza1938813:2717
18Chico19521215:3217
19Cucuta1937922:3516
20Dep. Pereira19171115:3210