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Aguilas FC B vs Alcantarilla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
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Match Events

73' Event
Albacete R. G.
80' Event
Soto A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 game between Aguilas FC B and Alcantarilla finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Aguilas FC B
35%
Draws
35%
Alcantarilla
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Aguilas FC B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Aguilas FC B a 30% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Aguilas FC B Clean Sheet 20%
Alcantarilla Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguilas FC B Alcantarilla
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 11 9
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.48 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Aguilas FC B vs Alcantarilla
1:1
May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Alcantarilla vs Aguilas FC B
2:1
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Aguilas FC B vs Alcantarilla
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguilas FC B Compare

Top Goalscorer Soto A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Alcantarilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Albacete R. G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.54

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguilas FC B 40 / 100
Alcantarilla 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguilas FC B Alcantarilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aguilas FC B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Aguilas FC B has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Aguilas FC B scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Alcantarilla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aguilas FC B VS Alcantarilla
1.88 Goals Scored 0.71
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.71
100% Over 1.5 57%
75% Over 2.5 14%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguilas FC B

(Home)
11 Oct
Minerva
0 : 2
Aguilas FC B
04 Oct
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1
Molinense
26 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 1
Aguilas FC B
20 Sept
Aguilas FC B
0 : 0
Bala Azul
13 Sept
Cotillas CD
2 : 2
Aguilas FC B
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Alcantarilla

(Away)
10 Oct
Molinense
3 : 0
Alcantarilla
04 Oct
Alcantarilla
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
27 Sept
Bala Azul
0 : 1
Alcantarilla
20 Sept
Alcantarilla
2 : 0
Cotillas CD
12 Sept
Alcantarilla
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santomera 6 5 1 0 14:6 16
2 Molinense 6 3 2 1 13:8 11
3 San Javier 5 3 2 0 8:5 11
4 Santa Cruz 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
5 Alcantarilla 6 2 3 1 5:5 9
6 UCAM Murcia B 6 2 2 2 13:7 8
7 Aguilas FC B 6 1 5 0 7:5 8
8 CA Pulpileno 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
9 Club Olimpico de Totana 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
10 Bala Azul 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
11 FC Cartagena SAD B 6 2 2 2 9:10 8
12 Minerva 6 2 2 2 3:4 8
13 Cotillas CD 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
14 Bullas Deportivo 5 1 2 2 7:6 5
15 UD Los Garres 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
16 CD Algar 5 1 0 4 3:10 3
17 Deportivo Maritimo 5 1 0 4 2:10 3
18 Mazarron FC 6 0 1 5 6:14 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)