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Aguilas FC B vs Mazarron CF

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Hernandez F.
(Penalty)
23' Event
Guerrero Y.
32'
Romero Y.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 game between Aguilas FC B and Mazarron CF finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mazarron CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Aguilas FC B
17%
Draws
13%
Mazarron CF
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Aguilas FC B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Mazarron CF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Aguilas FC B's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Aguilas FC B Clean Sheet 68%
Mazarron CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguilas FC B Mazarron CF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 8 12
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.88 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Mazarron CF vs Aguilas FC B
2:3
Jan 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Aguilas FC B vs Mazarron CF
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguilas FC B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Mazarron CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerrero Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Valdeolivas D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguilas FC B 77 / 100
Mazarron CF 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguilas FC B Mazarron CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Aguilas FC B stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Aguilas FC B found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Mazarron CF has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aguilas FC B VS Mazarron CF
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguilas FC B

(Home)
10 May
Aguilas FC B
2 : 2
UCAM Murcia B
03 May
Mazarron CF
2 : 3
Aguilas FC B
25 Apr
Aguilas FC B
2 : 1
E.G. El Palmar
19 Apr
Deportivo Maritimo
1 : 2
Aguilas FC B
11 Apr
Aguilas FC B
2 : 1
Molinense
Page 1 of 6

Mazarron CF

(Away)
24 May
Real Murcia B
2 : 0
Mazarron CF
16 May
Mazarron CF
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
10 May
CA Pulpileno
0 : 1
Mazarron CF
03 May
Mazarron CF
2 : 3
Aguilas FC B
26 Apr
UCAM Murcia B
3 : 3
Mazarron CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Cieza342110365:2173
2Real Murcia B34178959:4459
3Molinense34178946:3459
4Club Olimpico de Totana341513644:2758
5Mazarron CF341414650:3356
6UCAM Murcia B341316555:3755
7Aguilas FC B3414101047:4252
8CA Pulpileno3413111030:2950
9Santa Cruz341461435:3748
10Minerva3411111228:3944
11Bala Azul348161039:3640
12FC Cartagena SAD B349111440:3938
13Deportivo Maritimo34991638:4636
14E.G. El Palmar34881827:4832
15Santomera34881838:6432
16Caravaca346131533:4431
17Muleno CF346131533:5831
18Yeclano B34691925:5427
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 (Play Offs)