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Aguilas FC B vs UCAM Murcia B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aguilas FC B host UCAM Murcia B in the Tercera RFEF - Group 13. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. UCAM Murcia B have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Aguilas FC B have conceded 1.2 and scored 1.47. Head-to-head, Aguilas FC B have won 1 to UCAM Murcia B's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.50 - 1.75) back Aguilas FC B to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Aguilas FC B
35%
Draws
32%
UCAM Murcia B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Aguilas FC B have managed 1.47 goals a game lately — UCAM Murcia B are scoring more at 1.74.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Aguilas FC B Clean Sheet 12%
UCAM Murcia B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguilas FC B UCAM Murcia B
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 11
Draws 11 14
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.47 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Aguilas FC B vs UCAM Murcia B
2:2
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs Aguilas FC B
1:1
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Aguilas FC B vs UCAM Murcia B
3:0
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs Aguilas FC B
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguilas FC B 35 / 100
UCAM Murcia B 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguilas FC B UCAM Murcia B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UCAM Murcia B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Aguilas FC B stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Aguilas FC B scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

UCAM Murcia B let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aguilas FC B VS UCAM Murcia B
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguilas FC B

(Home)
04 Oct
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1
Molinense
26 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 1
Aguilas FC B
20 Sept
Aguilas FC B
0 : 0
Bala Azul
13 Sept
Cotillas CD
2 : 2
Aguilas FC B
06 Sept
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1
Alcantarilla
Page 1 of 6

UCAM Murcia B

(Away)
04 Oct
Club Olimpico de Totana
1 : 0
UCAM Murcia B
27 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1
San Javier
20 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 2
UCAM Murcia B
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
4 : 0
Deportivo Maritimo
05 Sept
Santomera
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santomera 6 5 1 0 14:6 16
2 San Javier 5 3 2 0 8:5 11
3 Alcantarilla 5 2 3 0 5:2 9
4 Molinense 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
5 CA Pulpileno 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
6 Club Olimpico de Totana 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
7 Minerva 5 2 2 1 3:2 8
8 Cotillas CD 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
9 Santa Cruz 5 1 3 1 8:8 6
10 UCAM Murcia B 5 1 2 2 8:6 5
11 Bullas Deportivo 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
12 Aguilas FC B 5 0 5 0 5:5 5
13 Bala Azul 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 UD Los Garres 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 FC Cartagena SAD B 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
16 CD Algar 5 1 0 4 3:10 3
17 Deportivo Maritimo 5 1 0 4 2:10 3
18 Mazarron FC 5 0 1 4 5:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)