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Aguilas FC vs Almeria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
de la Fuente M.

AI Match Summary

Almeria in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Almeria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Aguilas FC
20%
Draws
60%
Almeria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Almeria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Almeria lately — more wins on the board than Aguilas FC.
  • Model gives Almeria a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Almeria have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Aguilas FC Clean Sheet 16%
Almeria Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguilas FC Almeria
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 16
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.34 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Aguilas FC vs Almeria
0:1
Aug 3, 2025 Club Friendly
Aguilas FC vs Almeria
0:2
Nov 30, 2021 Copa del Rey
Aguilas FC vs Almeria
1:2
Jul 25, 2021 Club Friendly
Aguilas FC vs Almeria
0:1
Jul 21, 2018 Club Friendly
Aguilas FC vs Almeria
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguilas FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Almeria Compare

Top Goalscorer de la Fuente M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguilas FC 11 / 100
Almeria 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguilas FC Almeria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almeria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguilas FC found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Almeria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Aguilas FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aguilas FC VS Almeria
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguilas FC

(Home)
10 Oct
Aguilas FC
2 : 2
Huesca
03 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
4 : 1
Aguilas FC
26 Sept
Aguilas FC
0 : 1
Hercules
20 Sept
Algeciras
1 : 1
Aguilas FC
12 Sept
Aguilas FC
1 : 0
Real Madrid B
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Almeria

(Away)
03 Oct
Almeria
2 : 1
Burgos CF
27 Sept
Mallorca
0 : 1
Almeria
20 Sept
Almeria
2 : 0
Celta Vigo B
12 Sept
Cordoba
0 : 2
Almeria
06 Sept
Almeria
3 : 2
Cadiz
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