Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2018/2019

Aguilas FC

5 - 1

Estudiantes de Murcia CF

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aguilas FC in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aguilas FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Aguilas FC

39%

Draws

31%

Estudiantes de Murcia CF

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Estudiantes de Murcia CF haven't matched Aguilas FC's recent run of results.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

Aguilas FC Clean Sheet 20%

Estudiantes de Murcia CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aguilas FC	Estudiantes de Murcia CF
Matches Played	35	30
Wins	19	9
Draws	8	7
Losses	8	14
Goals Scored	1.5	0
Goals Conceded	1	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Aguilas FC vs Estudiantes de Murcia CF

Possession: 44% - 52% Cards: 2 - 1

5:1

Oct 14, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Estudiantes de Murcia CF vs Aguilas FC

Possession: 51% - 48% Cards: 0 - 3

1:0

Mar 18, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Aguilas FC vs Estudiantes de Murcia CF

Possession: 47% - 58% Cards: 0 - 3

1:0

Oct 29, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Estudiantes de Murcia CF vs Aguilas FC

Possession: 56% - 40% Cards: 4 - 1

2:2

Jan 8, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Aguilas FC vs Estudiantes de Murcia CF

Possession: 50% - 44% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguilas FC 31 / 100

Estudiantes de Murcia CF 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aguilas FC Estudiantes de Murcia CF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGU Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Estudiantes de Murcia CF conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Aguilas FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Aguilas FC scored in 71% of their last 35 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Aguilas FC VS -

1.5 Goals Scored 0

1 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

50% Over 2.5 0%

50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Yeclano	42	27	8	7	88:30	89
2	Lorca Deportiva	42	28	5	9	69:28	89
3	Lorca FC	42	22	14	6	73:28	80
4	EDMF Churra	42	23	8	11	63:50	77
5	CA Pulpileno	42	21	13	8	65:41	76
6	Aguilas FC	42	20	14	8	56:33	74
7	UCAM Murcia B	42	16	15	11	52:42	63
8	Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC	42	17	11	14	53:51	62
9	Deportiva Minera	42	14	13	15	45:55	55
10	Mazarron CF	42	14	12	16	48:56	54
11	Club Olimpico de Totana	42	15	9	18	54:64	54
12	UD Los Garres	42	13	14	15	36:48	53
13	Minerva	42	14	9	19	44:53	51
14	Real Murcia B	42	14	9	19	56:64	51
15	Muleno CF	42	12	13	17	44:59	49
16	Huercal-Overa CF	42	14	6	22	56:68	48
17	FC Cartagena SAD B	42	11	15	16	51:53	48
18	Ciudad de Murcia	42	12	8	22	43:70	44
19	La Union (Malacitano)	42	12	7	23	42:55	43
20	Estudiantes de Murcia CF	42	10	12	20	37:55	42
21	CD Algar	42	9	8	25	29:71	35
22	Ciudad Cieza	42	10	5	27	36:66	32