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Aguilas FC vs FC Cartagena SAD

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Club Friendly 2025
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Match Events

14' Event
Romero E.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Aguilas FC and FC Cartagena SAD finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Cartagena SAD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Aguilas FC
17%
Draws
13%
FC Cartagena SAD
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Aguilas FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Aguilas FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Aguilas FC a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and FC Cartagena SAD have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Aguilas FC Clean Sheet 68%
FC Cartagena SAD Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguilas FC FC Cartagena SAD
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 17 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Aguilas FC vs FC Cartagena SAD
0:1
Jul 26, 2023 Club Friendly
Aguilas FC vs FC Cartagena SAD
0:0
Aug 3, 2011 Club Friendly
Aguilas FC vs FC Cartagena SAD
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguilas FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FC Cartagena SAD Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguilas FC 77 / 100
FC Cartagena SAD 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguilas FC FC Cartagena SAD

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguilas FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Aguilas FC found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

FC Cartagena SAD has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Aguilas FC VS FC Cartagena SAD
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%