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Aguilas FC vs Lorca Deportiva - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Castedo J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Aguilas FC and Lorca Deportiva finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aguilas FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Aguilas FC
35%
Draws
32%
Lorca Deportiva
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Aguilas FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Aguilas FC Clean Sheet 20%
Lorca Deportiva Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguilas FC Lorca Deportiva
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 17 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.29 0.69
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Aguilas FC vs Lorca Deportiva
1:0
Aug 6, 2026 Club Friendly
Lorca Deportiva vs Aguilas FC
1:0
Apr 19, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Aguilas FC vs Lorca Deportiva
2:0
Dec 14, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Lorca Deportiva vs Aguilas FC
0:1
Aug 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Aguilas FC vs Lorca Deportiva
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguilas FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Castedo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Lorca Deportiva Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguilas FC 32 / 100
Lorca Deportiva 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguilas FC Lorca Deportiva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguilas FC found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (34 games).

Lorca Deportiva let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Aguilas FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Aguilas FC VS Lorca Deportiva
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguilas FC

(Home)
10 Oct
Aguilas FC
2 : 2
Huesca
03 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
4 : 1
Aguilas FC
26 Sept
Aguilas FC
0 : 1
Hercules
20 Sept
Algeciras
1 : 1
Aguilas FC
12 Sept
Aguilas FC
1 : 0
Real Madrid B
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Lorca Deportiva

(Away)
03 Oct
Castellon B
2 : 1
Lorca Deportiva
27 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0
Castellonense
20 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 0
CF Intercity
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0
Lorca Deportiva
06 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1
Ilicitano
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